NFL Monday Night Football Betting Preview: New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons

New York Giants at Atlanta Falcons
Mercedes- Benz Stadium – Atlanta, Georgia
Monday, October 22, 2018, 8:15 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Atlanta -4 1/2 (-105)
Current Line: Atlanta -4 (-105)
Opening Total: 54
Current Total: 52 1/2
Opening Money Line: Falcons -255 / Giants +211
Current Money Line: Falcons -220 / Giants +180

The Atlanta Falcons host the New York Giants Monday night in a battle of teams needing a win.

The 2-4 Atlanta Falcons host the 1-5 New York Giants Monday night. Both teams are in last place in the respective divisions, the Falcons in the NFC South and the Giants in the NFC East. The series is tied 12-12 between the Giants and Falcons. The Falcons won the last meeting in 2015 24-20 in New York. 

New York is coached by Pat Shurmur. The Giants have a road win over the Houston Texans 27-22. New York has home losses to the Jacksonville Jaguars 20-15, New Orleans Saints 33-18, and Philadelphia Eagles 34-13 last Thursday, plus road losses at the Dallas Cowboys 20-13 and Carolina Panthers 33-31. The Giants were 1.5 point underdogs against the Eagles and the total was 45. New York is 2-4 ATS and the total is 3-3 this season.

Atlanta is coached by Dan Quinn. The Falcons have home wins over the Carolina Panthers 31-24 and Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34-29 last week. The Falcons have road losses to the Philadelphia Eagles 18-12, and Pittsburgh Steelers 41-17, plus home losses to the New Orleans Saints 43-37 in overtime and Cincinnati Bengals 37-36. Atlanta was a 3 point favorite against Tampa Bay and the total was 57. The Falcons are 2-4 ATS and the total is 5-1 this season.

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New York is being outscored  27-20 this season. New York is #27 in scoring and #26 in points allowed. The Giants average 348 yards per game on offense including 261 passing and 88 rushing yards. New York is #23 in total offense and #27 in rushing. On defense, New York allows 358 yards per game including 236 passing and 122 rushing yards.  New Orleans is 31/81 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 35/82. The Giants have forced 7 sacks and allowed 20 this season. New York is even in turnovers. 

Quarterback Eli Manning has completed 68.7% of his passes for 1,662 yards with 6 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. He has been sacked 20 times. Alex Tanney is the back-up. 

Running back Saquon Barkley has 84 carries for 438 yards and 4 touchdowns, along with 40 catches for 373 yards and 2 touchdowns. Wayne Gallman will also get some carries. Paul Perkins and Jonathan Stewart are both out indefinitely. 

Receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. has 45 catches for 506 yards and a touchdown, and also threw a touchdown pass. Sterling Shepard has 31 catches for 341 yards and 2 touchdowns. Receiver Cody Latimer is out for the season with a hamstring injury. Tight ends Rhett Ellison and Evan Engram will also get some targets. Both are probable with injuries. 

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Atlanta is being outscored 32-28 this season. The Falcons are #8 in scoring and #31 in points allowed. The Falcons average 397 yards per game on offense including 311 passing yards and 86 rushing yards. Atlanta is #8 or better in total and passing offense, but #30 in rushing. On defense, Atlanta allows 417 yards per game including 296 passing and 121 rushing yards. Atlanta is #23 or worse in all three categories. The Falcons are 40/84 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 45/77. Atlanta has forced 10 sacks and allowed 17 this season. The Falcons are +4 in turnovers.

Quarterback Matt Ryan has completed 69.6% of his passes for 1,956 yards with 14 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, plus 14 carries for 66 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. He has been sacked 17 times. Backup Matt Schaub has taken a few snaps.

Running back Tevin Coleman has 71 carries for 260 yards and a touchdown and also has 13 catches for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns.  Ito Smith has 32 carries for 102 yards and 3 touchdowns, and also has 10 catches for 66 yards. Devonta Freeman is out until week 15 with a groin injury.

Receiver Julio Jones has 44 catches for 708 yards and no touchdowns. Calvin Ridley has 22 catches for 349 yards and 6 touchdowns. He is probable with an ankle injury. Mohamed Sanu has 22 catches for 303 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with a knee injury. Tight end Austin Hooper has 30 catches for 373 yards and 2 touchdowns. Kicker Matt Bryant is out with a hamstring injury. The Falcons signed Giorgio Tavecchio until Bryant returns.  Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report for the Falcons.

The underdog is 9-3 ATS in this series recently. The under is 9-1-1 in this series recently including 3-0-1 in Atlanta.

Neither of these teams are very good, but the Falcons are slightly better. Despite having plenty of talent at the skill positions, the Giants struggle on offense, mainly because of the offensive line. Veteran Eli Manning is taking a lot of the blame as well. The Alcoa’s are terrible on defense, but I like them to win at home in a high scoring game. 

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