The lines have been moved around by sharps and squares. Make sure to navigate to our NFL betting lines page to compare odds from various sportsbooks so you can find the best play. Here’s an update on some important games.
Baltimore (-7) vs. Denver – This line has been pretty steady. The Ravens opened as 7 point home favorites, and after books fluctuated between 6 ½ and 8 points, the line is back to the opening 7 points at most sites. The public is divided, playing Baltimore at just under 55%. Knowshown Moreno has been downgraded to doubtful with a bad hamstring, which is bad news for the Broncos, though they beat Tennessee on the road last week without Moreno. The Ravens are coming off a huge win at Pittsburgh, but that might lead to a letdown. Anquan Boldin against Champ Bailey should be fun to watch. The Ravens won easily last year, 30-7, holding the Broncos to just 200 yards of total offense.
Indianapolis (-7) vs. Kansas City – This has been a tough line to read. The Colts opened as 7 ½ point home favorites against the Chiefs, but early action on Indy has moved the line up to 9 points at most sites. Then the Chiefs had some sharp buy back, which brought the line down to 7 points. Now books are scattered between 7 and 9 points. The Chiefs are the only undefeated team in the NFL, believe it or not. Their defense is underrated. Jamaal Charles is, too. Dexter McCluster is a dynamic playmaker. The Colts have Mr. Consistent, Peyton Manning. He’s found a new favorite target in Austin Collie. Unfortunately for the Chiefs, Manning still has Reggie Wayne, Pierre Garcon, and Dallas Clark to catch passes, too. But if Indy hopes to come out of the AFC they have to be more productive in the running game.
Green Bay (-2.5/3) at Washington – This line has seen some reverse action with Washington, which means the wiseguys are backing the ‘Skins. The Pack started as 3 point road favorites, and despite the public playing Green Bay at nearly 90%, the line has come down to 2 ½ points with most books. Green Bay has been ravaged by injuries. Al Harris started the season on the PUP list, then Ryan Grant went down for the year, and now Nick Barnett is lost for the year, too. The Pack has been unimpressive the past two weeks, and for the whole season, to be honest. Washington had a big victory in Philadelphia, which might be something to build on. The Redskins will be without some key personnel, too. Clinton Portis is out for 4-6 weeks, and Albert Haynesworth probably won’t play as he grieves with his family over the untimely death of his brother.
Dallas (-7) vs. Tennessee – This line has been fairly steady. The Cowboys opened as 7 point favorites against the visiting Titans. Books initially came down to 6 ½ points, but some buy back on Tennessee has moved the line back up to 7 or 7 ½ points. The squares are slightly in favor of the Titans at just over 55%. The Cowboys had the week off after beating Houston in a feel good win. The ‘Boys played well, and with their talent on both sides of the ball, they still have a chance of making a postseason push. The Titans have been up and down. Last week was a down, losing to the Broncos at home. Chris Johnson is a great running back, but he’s not having the type of season he claimed he would. Vince Young is a winner.
Jets (-4) vs. Vikings – Who saw this coming? Randy Moss returns to Minnesota. Whether or not Moss can inject life into the Viking offense is yet to be seen. The Jets opened as 5 ½ point home favorites. Books dropped down to 4 ½ points right away, but after the Moss news broke the line came down to 3 ½ or 4 points, which is where it currently sits. The Jets are starting to play like Super Bowl contenders. But now they have to face Moss again, along with an underrated Viking defense. This is by far the most intriguing game in week 6.
We have isolated our 20 unit AFC game of the year this Sunday, currently on a 76% NFL play run for our clients this should be another easy winner. Get this pick and 4 others on our NFL betting picks page.