NFL Betting Preview Week 7: Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins
Sunday, October 21, 2018 – 4:25 pm Eastern TV: CBS, NFL Sunday Ticket
FedEx Field – Landover, Maryland
Opening Line: Washington -1 1/2 (-120)
Current Line: Dallas -1 (-115)
Opening Total: 42
Current Total: 41 1/2
Opening Money Line: Redskins -125 / Cowboys +105
Current Money Line: Cowboys -125 / Redskins +105

The Redskins and Cowboys renew their rivalry Sunday in Landover with first place in the NFC East on the line.

The NFC East might be the worst division in football but the AFC South is pretty mediocre as well. The Washington Redskins lead the NFC East at 3-2 by a half game over the 3-3 Philadelphia Eagles and Dallas Cowboys. Then there are the 1-5 New York Giants. 

The Redskins and Cowboys renew their rivalry Sunday in Landover. The Cowboys lead the series 70-44-2 against their rivals. Dallas has won 4 straight games in the series including 38-14 last year in Dallas and 33-19 in Washington. The two teams will play in Dallas on Thanksgiving Day. 

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys have home wins over the New York Giants 20-13, Detroit Lions 26-24 and Jacksonville Jaguars 40-7 last week. Dallas has road losses to the Carolina Panthers 16-8, Seattle Seahawks 24-13 and Houston Texans 19-16 in overtime. The Cowboys were 3 point underdogs against the Jaguars and the total was 39. Dallas is 3-3 ATS and the total is 2-4 this season. 

Washington is coached by Jay Gruden. The Redskins have a road win at the Arizona Cardinals 24-6, plus home wins over the Green Bay Packers 31-17 and Carolina Panthers 23-17 last week. Washington has a home loss at the Indianapolis Colts 21-9 and a road loss at the  New Orleans Saints  43-19. The Redskins were one point favorites against the Panthers and the total was 44.5. Washington is 3-2 ATS and the total is 2-3 this season.

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Dallas is outscoring teams 21-17 this season. The Cowboys  are #2 in points allowed and #26 in scoring. Dallas averages 320 yards per game on offense including 172 passing and 148 rushing yards. The Cowboys are #2 in rushing offense, but #29 in both total offense and in passing.  On defense, the Cowboys allow 315 total yards per game including 225 passing and 91 rushing yards. Dallas is #8 or better in all three categories. Dallas is 30/85 on third and fourth conversions and opponents are 36/86. Dallas has  forced 18 sacks and allowed 19 this season. The Cowboys are -2 in turnovers.

Quarterback Dak Prescott has  completed 62% of his passes for 1,144 yards with 7 touchdowns and 4 interceptions, along with 34  carries for 203 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 19 times.  Cooper Rush is the backup. 

Running back Ezekiel Elliot has 117 carries for 586 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 23 catches for 166 yards and a touchdown.  Rod Smith will also get some carries. 

Receiver Cole Beasley has 26 catches for 294 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tight end Geoff Swaim has 16 catches for 180 yards and a touchdown. Deonte Thompson has 12catches for 103 yards. Tavon Austin has 7 catches for 130 yards and 2 touchdowns and also has 55 rushing yards on six carries. He is out with a groin injury.  Allen Hurns and Michael Gallup will also get some catches. Receiver Terrance Williams is on injured reserve with a broken foot, and so is center Travis Frederick with a serious illness.  Six defensive players are listed on the injury report. 

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Washington is outscoring teams 21.2-20.8 this season. The Redskins are #8 in points allowed and #25 in scoring. The Redskins average 344 total yards per game on offense including 227 passing and 117 rushing yards per game. Washington is #25 in total offense and #24 in passing. Washington allows 326 total yards per game on defense including 236 passing and 90 rushing. The Redskins are #6 in rush defense and number #5 in total defense. The Redskins are 32/67 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 24/60. Washington has forced 10 sacks and allowed 12 sacks this season. The Redskins are +4 in turnovers.

Quarterback Alex Smith has completed 64.3% of his passes for 1,205 yards with 6 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and has 27 carries for 68 yards and a touchdown. He has been sacked 12 times. Colt McCoy is the backup. 

Running back Adrian Peterson has 77 carries for 329 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 7  catches for 136 yards. He is probable with a shoulder injury. Chris Thompson has 23 carries for 100 yards plus 26 catches fo 200 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a rib injury. Rob Kelley is out until week 11 with a toe injury. 

Tight end Jordan Reed has 20 catches for 225 yards and a touchdown.  Receiver Paul Richardson, Jr.  has 16 catches for 212 yards and 2 touchdowns. He is doubtful with a knee injury. Vernon Davis has 9 catches for 149 yards and a touchdown. Receiver Jamison Crowder is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Six defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed on the injury report. 

The last five games in this series have gone over the total. The road team is 7-1 ATS in this series recently. The underdog is 30-10 ATS in this series. The Cowboys are 5-2 ATS against the Redskins and have covered the last four times in Washington. 

Dallas exploded for 40 points last week against a good Jaguars’ defense. However, the Cowboys have struggled to say the least in three road games averaging only 12 points. Both these teams are  among the best defensive teams in the league. I expect a close low scoring game with the Redskins pulling it out at the end. 

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