NFL Betting Preview: San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals

San Francisco 49ers at Arizona Cardinals
Sunday, September 27, 2015, 4:05 pm Eastern, TV : Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
University of Phoenix Stadium – Glendale, Arizona
Opening Line: Arizona -6 1/2
Current Line: Arizona -6 1/2 (-115)
Opening Total: 44 1/2
Current Total: 45
Opening Money Line: Cardinals -275 / 49ers +225
Current Money Line: Cardinals -275 / 49ers +225

The Cardinals look to improve to 3-0 as they host the 49ers Sunday.
The Cardinals look to improve to 3-0 as they host the 49ers Sunday.

The Arizona Cardinals are 2-0 this season as the host the 1-1 San Francisco 49ers Sunday. A win for the Cardinals could give them as much as a two game lead the division depending on what the also 1-1 St. Louis Rams do against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pre-season favorite Seattle is 0-2 so far.

San Francisco leads the series 29-18 against Arizona. The series dates back to 1951 when the Cardinals were in Chicago. The 49ers have won five of the last six games in this series. The two teams split the two games last year, with each winning at home. Arizona won 23-14 and San Francisco won 20-17. Arizona will make the trip to San Francisco November 29.

San Francisco is coached by Jim Tomsula. The 49ers opened the season at home with a 20-3 win against the Minnesota Vikings. Last week, San Francisco was destroyed in Pittsburgh 43-18 by the Steelers. Pittsburgh jumped out to a 29-3 halftime lead that including two successful two point conversions. Pittsburgh was a 6 points favorite and the total was 46. San Francisco is 1-1 ATS and the total is 1-1 thsi season.

Arizona is coached by Bruce Arians. The Cardinals won at home against the New Orleans Saints 31-19 in week one and last week crushed the Chicago Bears 48-23 on the road. The Cardinals took a 28-20 lead into halftime. The Cardinals ran back the opening kickoff for a touchdown and later scored on a pick six. Arizona expanded the lead to 42-20 in the second half and would win by 25. Arizona was a 2 point favorite and the total was 45.5. The Cardinals are 2-0 ATS and the total is 2-0 as well.

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San Francisco is being outscored 23-19 this season. The 49ers average 402 yards per game on offense including 232 passing and 171 rushing yards. San Francisco is #4 in total offense and #1 in rushing. On defense, the 49ers are allowing 351 total yards per game including 273 passing and 78 rushing yards. The 49ers are #6 in rush defense but #26 in pass defense. San Francisco is 15/34 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 7/21. The 49ers have forced 5 sacks and allowed 6 this season. San Francisco is -1 in turnovers.

Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has completed 69.4% of his passes for 500 yards with 2 touchdowns an no interceptions, and has rushed for 92 yards on 16 carries. Running back Carlos Hyde has 39 carries for 211 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 6 catches for 32 yards. He is probable with a concussion. Jarryd Hayne and Mike Davis will also get some carries. Reggie Bush is out with a calf injury.

Receiver Torrey Smith has 7 catches for 131 yards and a touchdown. He is probable with a knee injury. Tight end Vernon Davis has 8 catches for 109 yards. Anquan Boldin has 10 catches for 96 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Blake Bell is probable with a knee injury.  Tight end Vance McDonald and  receiver Bruce Ellington are both questionable.

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Arizona is outscoring teams 40-21 this season. The Cardinals lead the league in scoring. The Cardinals are averaging 364 total yards per game on offense including 246 passing 118 rushing yards. Arizona is allowing 372 total yards per game including 290 passing and 82 rushing yards. The Cardinals are #28 in pass defense but #10 in rush defense. Arizona is 11/20 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 9/32. The Cardinals have forced 4 sacks and haven’t allowed one yet. Arizona is even in turnovers.

Quarterback Carson Palmer has completed 64.3% of his passes for 492 yards with 7 touchdowns and an interception, along with 12 rushing yards. Running back Andre Ellington is out until mid-October with a knee injury. He has 12 carries for 69 yards and a touchdown. Chris Johnson has 30 carries for 109 yards. David Johnson has 5 carries for 42 yard and a touchdown, along with 2 catches for 58 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver Larry Fitzgerald has 14 catches for 199 yards and 3 touchdowns. John Brown has 9 catches for 91 yards and a touchdown. Darren Fells has 4 catches for 82 yards and a touchdown. Jaron Brown has 3 catches for 28 yards and a touchdown. Michael Floyd has only one catch but has been dealing with a broken finger. Six defensive players are listed on the injury report.

San Francisco is 1-3-1 ATS after an ATS loss, against teams with winning home records and against NFC teams,  2-6 after allowing more than 30 points, 1-4 in week three, 1-5-1 after a straight up loss of 14 points or more, 1-6-1 overall, 1-8 on grass, 0-3-1 after a straight up loss, 0-4-1 against teams with a winning record, after allowing 350 yards or more and after gaining 350 yards or more, and 0-3-1 against NFC West teams. The road team is 13-6 ATS in this series recently. The underdog has covered 4 of the last 5 games in this series. The 49ers are 9-4 ATS against the Cardinals recently, including 7-2 in Glendale.

Arizona is 4-0 ATS after scoring more than 30 points, and in September, 7-1 at home, and after a straight up win, 14-5 after a cover, 19-7 overall, 20-8 against NFC teams and on grass, and 2-5 in week 3.

Arizona might be the best team in the NFC, but the Green Bay Packers might have something to say about that. I don’t think San Francisco has the fire power to keep up with the Cardinals. I like Arizona to win comfortably at home.

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