NFL Betting Picks from London: Washington Redskins vs Cincinnati Bengals

Washington Redskins vs Cincinnati Bengals
Sunday, October 30, 2016, 9:30 am Eastern, TV: Fox
Wembley Stadium – London, England
Opening Line: Cincinnati -2
Current Line: Cincinnati -3 (-115)
Opening Total: 46 1/2
Current Total: 49 1/2
Opening Money Line: Bengals -155 / Redskins +135
Current Money Line: Bengals -155 / Redskins +135

Cincinnati is favored over Washington in London.
Cincinnati is favored over Washington in London.

The 4-3 Washington Redskins and 3-4 Cincinnati Bengals meet Sunday in London. The Redskins are tied for third and last with the New York Giants in the NFC East. The Bengals are tied with the Ravens for second in the AFC, but both teams are only a game behind the Pittsburgh Steelers. This is the first time that two division winners from the previous season are meeting in one of the NFL’s international games.

Cincinnati leads the series 5-4 against Washington. The Bengals have won three straight games in the series including 38-31 in Washington in 2012. The last four games in this series have been decided by exactly 7 points.

Washington is coached by Jay Gruden, who used to be the offensive coordinator for Cincinnati. The Redskins have home losses to the Pittsburgh Steelers 38-16 and Dallas Cowboys 27-23, plus a road loss to the Detroit Lions 20-17 last week. The loss to Detroit snapped a four game winning streak for the Redskins. Washington has road wins at the New York Giants 29-27 and Baltimore Ravens 16-10, plus home wins over the Cleveland Browns 31-20 and Philadelphia Eagles 27-20. Washington was a one point favorite against Detroit and the total was 50. The Redskins are 4-3 ATS and the total is 5-2 this season.

Cincinnati is coached by Marvin Lewis. The Bengals have a road win over the New York Jets 23-22, plus home wins over the Miami Dolphins 22-7 and Cleveland Browns 31-17 last week. Cincinnati has a home loss to the Denver Broncos 29-17, plus road losses to the Steelers 24-16, Dallas Cowboys 28-14 and New England Patriots 35-17. All four losses are to teams currently in first place in their division or at least tied for the lead. The Bengals were -11 against the winless Browns and the total was 46.5. Cincinnati is 3-4 ATS and the total is 4-3 this season.

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Washington is being outscored 23.1-22.7 this season. The Redskins average 391 yards per game on offense including 278 passing and 113 rushing yards per game. Washington is #6 in total offense and #3 in passing. On defense, Washington allows 363 yards per game including 244 passing and 120 rushing yards. The Redskins are 40/92 on third and fourth down conversions s and opponents are 41/90. Washington has forced 19 sacks and allowed 10 this season. The Redskins are -1 in turnovers.

Quarterback Kirk Cousins has completed 66.8% of his passes for 1,996 yards with 10 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, plus he has 45 rushing yards on 12 carries with a touchdown.

Running back Matt Jones has 99 carries for 460 yards with 3 touchdowns, plus he has 8 catches for 73 yards. Chris Thompson has 38 carries for 193 yards and a touchdown, plus 22 catches for 184 yards and a touchdown. Robert Kelley has 17 carries for 103 yards.

Receiver Jamison Crowder has 31 catches fro 391 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is questionable with a groin injury. DeSean Jackson has 27 catches for 368 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a hamstring injury. Pierre Garcon has 30 catches for 329 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Jordan Reed has 33 catches for 316 yards and two touchdowns. He is probable with a concussion. Tight end Vernon Davis has 18 catches for 223 yards and a touchdown. He is questionable with a groin injury. Twenty three players are listed on the injury report including nine defensive players and 5 offensive linemen.

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Cincinnati is being outscored 23-20 this season. The Bengals average 393 yards per game on offense including 277 passing and 116 rushing yards. The Bengals are in the top 10 in all three categories.  On defense, Cincinnati is allowing 355 total yards including 236 passing and 118 rushing yards per game. The Bengals are 34/94 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 34/87. The Bengals have forced 15 sacks and allowed 22 this season. Cincinnati is +3 in turnovers.

Cincinnati quarterback Andy Dalton has completed 67.5% of his passes for 2,065 yards with 8 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, and has 25 carries for 93 yards and a touchdown.

Running back Jeremy Hill has 84 carries for 439 yards and 4 touchdowns, along with 6 catches for 64 yards. He is probable with a wrist injury. Giovani Bernard has 66 carries for 247 yards and a touchdown, along with 30 catches for 263 yards and a touchdown.

Receiver A.J. Green has 50 catches for 775 yards and 3 touchdowns. Brandon LaFell has 27 catches for 372 yards and four touchdowns. Tyler Boyd has 20 catches for 245 yards. C.J. Uzomah has 17 catches for 193 yards. Tight end Tyler Eifert made his season debut last week after missing with an ankle injury. Seven defensive players are listed on the injury report. Linebacker Vontaze Burfict is questionable for undisclosed reasons.

Washington is 5-0 ATS after allowing 350 yards or more, 5-1 against teams with losing records, 4-1 after a loss, after failing to cover, and overall, and 1-4 in week eight.

Cincinnati is 4-0 ATS in week 8, 6-1 on grass, 6-2-1 after gaining 350 yards or more, 5-2 after allowing more than 150 rushing yards, 9-4-1 after passing for 250 yards or more, 15-7-2 overall, 1-3-1 after a win and after allowing 350 yards or more, 1-4 after a cover, and 0-4-1 against teams with winning records.

While every team has injuries this time of year, Washington has been racked by injuries to not only the skill positions bit on defense as well. I don’t trust the Bengals very much, but I think they win this game in what should be a high scoring game.

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