San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
CenturyLink Field – Seattle, Washington
Sunday, December 14, 2014, 4:25 pm Eastern, TV: Fox, NFL Sunday Ticket
Opening Line: Seattle -8 1/2
Current Line: Seattle -9 1/2 (-115)
Opening Total: 38 1/2
Current Total: 38
Opening Money Line: Seahawks -475 / 49ers +380
Current Money Line: Seahawks -430 / 49ers +345
After a sluggish 3-3 start, the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks have won 6 of their last 7 games including 3 straight to improve to 9-4. The Seahawks are just a game and a half back of the 11-3 Arizona Cardinals in the NFC West. Seattle is also tied with the Detroit Lions and Dallas Cowboys for the two wild card spots in the NFC playoffs. The Seahawks look to continue their hot streak as they host the arch rival San Francisco 49ers Sunday. At 7-6 the 49ers’ playoff chances are on life support. They basically have to win out and get a lot of help. A loss against the Seahawks would almost certainly eliminate them from playoff contention, unless both Dallas and Detroit were to lose out.
Since 2001, Seattle leads the series 15-11 against San Francisco. The Seahawks have won 2 straight games against the 49ers including 23-17 in last year’s NFC Championship game. Seattle dominated the 49ers 19-3 on Thanksgiving night in San Francisco two weeks ago.
San Francisco is coached by Jim Harbaugh. The 49ers have home losses to the Chicago Bears 28-20, St. Louis Rams 13-10, and Seahawks 19-3, along with road losses to the Cardinals 23-14, Denver Broncos 42-17, and last week at the Oakland Raiders 24-13. San Francisco has lost two straight games after a 3 game winning streak. The 49ers have home wins over the Philadelphia Eagles 26-21, Kansas City Chiefs 22-17, and Washington Redskins 17-13, along with road wins over the Cowboys 28-17, Rams 31-17, New Orleans Saints 27-24 in overtime, and New York Giants 16-10. San Francisco is 6-7 ATS and the total is 4-9 this season. The 49ers were 8 point favorites against the Raiders last week and the total was 40.5.
Seattle is coached by Pete Carroll. The Seahawks have road losses at the San Diego Chargers 30-21 St. Louis Rams 28-26 and Kansas City Chiefs 24-20. The Seahawks lost at home to the Cowboys 30-23. Seattle has home wins over the Green Bay Packers 36-16, Denver Broncos 26-20 in overtime, Oakland Raiders 30-24 and Arizona Cardinals 19-3, plus road wins at the Redskins 27-17, Carolina Panthers 13-9, 49ers 19-3 and last week at the Eagles 24-14. Seattle has won 3 straight games. The Seahawks are 7-6 ATS and the total is 7-6 this season. Seattle was a 1 point favorite against Philadelphia and the total was 48.
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San Francisco is being outscored 21-19 this season. The 49ers are #10 in points allowed and #26 in scoring. San Francisco is averaging 319 yards per game on offense including 206 passing and 114 rushing yards. The 49ers are #24 in total offense and #27 in passing. On defense, San Francisco is allowing 309 yards per game including 211 passing yards and 97 rushing yards. The 49ers are in the top 7 in all three categories. San Francisco is 78/188 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 72/174. The 49ers have forced 27 sacks and allowed 43 this season. San Francisco has 2 defensive touchdowns and has allowed 3 defensive or special teams touchdowns. The 49ers are +3 in turnovers.
San Francisco quarterback Colin Kaepernick has completed 60.6% of his passes for 2,910 yards with 16 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, along with 81 carries for 379 yards. Running back Frank Gore has 193 carries for 775 yards and 2 touchdowns, along with 9 catches for 106 yards and a touchdown. Carlos Hyde has 77 carries for 278 yards and 4 touchdowns, plus 12 catches for 68 yards.
Receiver Anquan Boldin has 72 catches for 897 yards and 4 touchdowns. Michael Crabtree has 60 catches for 633 yards and 4 touchdowns. Stevie Johnson has 35 catches for 435 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is out with a knee injury. Brandon Lloyd has 12 catches for 268 yards and a touchdown. Tight end Vernon Davis has 25 catches for 236 yards and 2 touchdowns. Nineteen players are listed on the injury report including 5 offensive linemen and 9 defensive players.
Seattle is outscoring teams 25-18. The Seahawks are #11 in scoring and #3 in points allowed. Seattle is averaging 367 yards per game on offense including 197 passing and 170 rushing yards per game. The Seahawks are #1 in rushing in the NFL, but #29 in passing. Seattle is allowing 275 yards per game on defense including 190 passing and 84 rushing yards per game. The Seahawks lead the league in total and pass defense and are #3 in rush defense. Seattle is 73/181 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 68/168. The Seahawks have forced 23 sacks and allowed 33 this season. Seattle is +9 in turnovers this season. The Seahawks have 2 defensive touchdowns and have allowed a defensive and a special teams touchdown.
Seattle quarterback Russell Wilson has completed 63.4% his passes for 2,729 yards with 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. He also has 101 carries for 727 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. Running back Marshawn Lynch has 235 carries for 1,042 yards and 9 touchdowns, plus 33 catches for 324 yards and 4 touchdowns. Robert Turbin and Christine Michael will also get some carries.
Receiver Doug Baldwin has 53 catches for 616 yards and 3 touchdowns. He is probable with a groin injury. Jermaine Kearse has 32 catches for 451 yards and a touchdown. Ricardo Lockette, tight end Cooper Helfet and Turbin each have two touchdown catches. Helfet is questionable with an ankle injury. Tight end Zach Miller is out for the season with an ankle injury. Ten defensive players and three offensive linemen are listed as questionable or out.
San Francisco is 4-1 ATS after scoring 15 points or less and on fieldturf, 7-2 in week 15, 6-2-1 after accumulating 250 yards or less, 11-4 against teams with winning home records, 12-5 in road games, 26-11-3 after failing to cover, 25-12-2 after a straight up loss, 2-5 overall, 1-4 against teams with winning records, and 1-4 against NFC West teams. The last 4 games in this series have gone under the total, and the under is 4-1-1 in Seattle in the series recently.
Seattle is 4-0 ATS after allowing less than 150 passing yards, 6-1 against teams with winning road records, 5-1 in December, 12-3-1 after passing for more than 250 yards, 4-1 overall, and against NFC West teams, 6-2 after accumulating more than 350 total yards, 9-3 after allowing less than 250 total yards, 20-7 against teams with winning records, 10-4 after allowing less than 15 points, 36-16 against NFC teams and on fieldturf, 35-16-1 at home, and 23-11 after a straight up win. The Seahawks have covered the last 6 games against the 49ers and have gone 5-1 in Seattle against San Francisco recently.
Seattle has been a house of horrors for the 49ers recently, but they have to win this game or the season is basically over for San Francisco. The 49ers are huge underdogs on the NFL betting lines mainly because they struggle on offense. This should be a low scoring game with 2 of the best defenses in the league. I think the Seahawks win but it will be a close game.