NCAA Tournament Opening Round Picks: (9) Washington Huskies vs. (8) Utah State Aggies

(9) Washington vs (8) Utah State

Time: FRI, 5:50 PM CT (TNT)

Spread: UTA -3

Total: 135

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Washington Huskies finished its season 26-8 while dominating the Pac 12 with a 15-3 conference record. It will collide against #8 Utah State in the first round. Utah State is 3-point favorites in the game, which has an over/under of 135 points according to NCAA basketball oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes. The game will tip off at 5:50 PM (CT) Friday on TNT.

WAS

The Washington Huskies won four of its final seven games, but it fell 48-68 to a tough defensive Oregon team in the Pac 12 championship game. Washington struggled badly in the second half, getting outscored 40-22 over the final 20 minutes of action and the Huskies finished the game with an abysmal 33.3 percent shooting performance while turning the ball over excessively, as well, finishing the game with 14 turnovers.

Washington is typically a tough defensive team in its own right, limiting opponents to just 64.4 per game (No. 30) while scoring 69.8 itself—good for a positive-5.4 point differential on the season. The Huskies finished with a 0-3 mark against top-25 opponents, and it was defeated by Oregon twice in its final four games, failing to score 50 points in either game. The Huskies are led by the trio of Jaylen Nowell, David Crisp, and Noah Dickerson. Powell led the team in scoring (16.2 per game) and was No. 2 in rebounding (5.3) and he is also the best three-point marksman at 43.8 percent. Washington attempted 734 threes this season with Crisp leading the team in attempts (187) and makes (70). The Huskies are a strong team, and it shoots nearly 70 percent from the line as a team, though Crisp has his struggles and Dickerson is subpar as well (64 and 68 precent, respectively).

UTAH ST.

The No. 25 ranked Utah State Aggies finished its season 28-6 while fairing 15-3 in Mountain West play. It ended the season with an impressive 11-game win streak and it defeated San Diego State University 64-57 in the Mountain West championship. Utah State is a solid defensive team (No. 56, allowing 66.8 per game) and a high scoring club that averages 79 points per game. It possesses a +12.4 point differential, while also showing itself to a be a tough team on the glass where it averages 40.2 rebounds per game.

The Aggies are led by the play of guard Sam Merrill. He averaged a team-high 21.2 points per game, while also averaging four rebounds and four assists per game. Center Neemias Queta is also a huge and important part of the Aggies success: He averaged 12 points, nine rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game. When Queta has three or more blocks, the Aggies have gone 12-3, and he had three games this season with five blocks or more.

Queta is just a freshman and at 6’11” he has the length to anchor this tough defense and protect the rim. Queta hails from Portugal, and is one of the best defensive bigs in the tournament.

ATS TRENDS (C/o COVERS):

Utah St.
  • Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
  • Aggies are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 Friday games.
  • Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.
  • Aggies are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Aggies are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. Pacific-12.
  • Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.

OU TRENDS

Washington
  • Over is 6-0 in Huskies last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 non-conference games.
  • Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 neutral site games.
  • Over is 4-1 in Huskies last 5 vs. Mountain West.
  • Under is 23-8 in Huskies last 31 games following a straight up loss.
  • Under is 28-10 in Huskies last 38 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 37-17 in Huskies last 54 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Under is 53-25 in Huskies last 78 overall.
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