NCAA Football Week 8 Picks: Missouri Tigers vs. Florida Gators

Missouri Tigers vs. Florida Gators
Saturday, 10/18/14, 7:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Florida -4
Current Betting Line:  Florida -5.5
Opening Total:  49.5
Current Total:  47
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Missouri Tigers have won their last seven true road games
The Missouri Tigers have won their last seven true road games

Missouri has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, as it looks to bounce back from a humiliating 34-0 setback to the Georgia Bulldogs as three-point home underdogs last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for a fourth consecutive contest.  The Tigers will try to win their eighth consecutive true road game, which can’t be ignored when making your Week 8 NCAA football betting picks, as they also look to capture their second straight victory in this series.  Missouri is 3-1 SUATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points the last two-plus seasons, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (2-2 Over/Under).

The Tigers have compiled an 11-3 overall record in the next game following a loss since 2011, including a 7-2 mark since joining the Southeastern Conference in 2012.  Missouri will be looking for quarterback Maty Mauk to put together a big performance, as he’s completed just 54.4 percent of his passes, but he has managed to throw 14 touchdowns with eight interceptions.

Florida has also alternated wins and losses over the same period of time as its upcoming opponent, as it dropped a 30-27 decision to the LSU Tigers as 1.5-point home underdogs last week, but it did win the statistical battle by a single yard.  The Gators have scored 11 touchdowns in the red zone this year, but they’ve also been held to eight additional trips of coming away with just a field goal.  It’s important to point out that the program has a plus-four turnover margin—ranking tied for fourth in the SEC and 15th nationally.  Florida is 14-6 SU and 7-13 ATS as favorites since 2012, with the UNDER going 10-9-1 in that situation.

The Gators are averaging 31.8 points per game at this point in the season, which represents an increase of 10.7 from the team’s output from 2013.  Florida must win the turnover battle to pick up a victory in this spot, as it has tallied a plus-32 margin in 25 wins under head coach Will Muschamp.

Sports bettors will likely back the Tigers due to the Gators being 1-5 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a winning record.

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