(4) Georgia at Georgia Tech
Time: 11 AM CST (ABC)
Spread: UGA -28
odds c/o 5dimes
The Georgia Bulldogs have lost just once in this season, to lowly South Carolina. Even so, a win Saturday over Georgia Tech should help it retain its top-4 status and make the playoff. The Bulldogs enter this affair as 28-point road favorites against the Yellow Jackets, with the point total set at 46.5 according to NCAA football oddsmakers at bookmaker 5dimes.
The Bulldogs have got it done on the strength of its defense and its rushing attack in 2019. UGA ranks just No. 81 in passing offense, but it generates nearly 200 yards a game via the rush and is ranked No. 33 in that aspect. The defense has held its opponents to just 10.7 points per game while the Bulldogs tally 31.2 points per, itself.
Starting quarterback Jake Fromm has been very solid, even if the team has been focused more on the rush. He has completed 63.4 percent of his passes with 17 TDs and just three INTs. He has also incurred just eight sacks. Fromm has not proven to be much of a rushing threat (28 attempts for three yards), but his ability to scramble and avoid sacks is top-notch.
Also, credit his offensive line for the superb job it has done both protecting him and creating holes for the top-rusher De’Andre Swift. Swift averages 6.2 yards-per-carry on his 183 attempts and has topped the 1,000-yard mark quite easily (1,130). Swift has seven of the team’s 18 total rushing touchdowns.
The top receivers have been Lawrence Cager and George Pickins, who basically serve as “1A” and “1B” options: Cager has 33 catches for 476 yards and Pickens is good for 457 yards on 32 catches. The duo is responsible for nine of the 19 total passing touchdowns.
Kicker Rodrigo Blankenship has been accurate and deadly. He is perfect (36 of 36) on PATs while having hit 23 of his 26 FGA. Both of his misses came from beyond 40-yards, while he is a perfect 13 of 13 from within the 40.
Georgia Tech has struggled mightily in this 3-8 season it has compiled thus far. The Yellow Jackets were shut out by Virginia Tech two weeks, falling 0-45 despite being single-digit underdogs. Against NC State, it managed a win last week, defeating the Wolfpack 28-26 in a crucial rivalry game (if it really matters?).
Tech has done nothing particularly well this season. It ranks outside the top-100 teams in passing offense while clocking in at No. 71 via the rush. This, of course, leads to a rather futile attack that generates just 19.3 points per game. The defense does not make wins very plausible considering it surrenders 30.6 per.
The brightest spot of the Yellow Jackets’ offense has probably been that of lead-rusher Jordan Mason. Despite a pretty poor offensive line, he’s managed to rush for 862 yards on a 5.5 yard-per-carry average with seven touchdowns.
James Graham has rushed fairly well from the QB position (3-plus yards-per-attempt), but he has completed just 47.4 percent of his pass attempts this season while also having thrown seven interceptions, nearly matching his TD throws (11). His passer rating is a decent 114.9, but it is deceiving: He is a terrible throwing quarterback, and the Yellow Jackets will need to be on the recruiting trail if its receivers are ever to come anywhere near maximizing their respective potentials.
ATS TRENDS (C/o Covers):