NCAA Basketball Picks: San Diego State Aztecs vs. San Francisco Dons

San Diego State Aztecs vs. San Francisco Dons
Saturday, 12/22/12, 6:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPNU
Opening Point Spread:  San Diego State -11
Current Betting Line:  San Diego State -10.5
Opening Total:  135.5
Current Total:  137
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

San Diego State star Jamaal Franklin is one of the more well-rounded players in the country

San Diego State has won nine games in a row since suffering a season-opening loss to the Syracuse Orange, as it comes off a 76-49 victory over Point Loma Nazarene on Tuesday.  The Aztecs are hoping that star Jamaal Franklin can return to the lineup, as he’s currently listed as probable on the injury report with back problems.  He is leading the team in points, rebounding and assists this year.  San Diego State is 21-8 ATS on Saturdays over the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when making your college basketball picks against the spread.

The Aztecs have won 29 consecutive games versus teams from the state of California, which is the longest active streak of its kind nationally.  San Diego State is one of the top defensive teams in college basketball, ranking 21st in allowing just 57.2 points per game, while holding foes to 37.7 percent shooting from the field.  Franklin has scored in double figures in 30 consecutive games, while being the only player in American to average at least 18.0 points, 9.0 rebounds, 3.0 assists, 1.0 blocks and 1.5 steals.

San Francisco will be looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 73-63 setback to Holy Cross earlier this week.  The Dons have had a lot of trouble on the offensive end during that time, shooting a combined 38 percent in those contests.  The program has lost its last eight games versus ranked teams in non-conference play, which is important to note when looking over the college basketball odds page.  San Francisco is 8-3 ATS when playing on a neutral court since 2010, with the OVER going 6-3 in that situation.

The Dons are going to be difficult to back when you make your NCAA basketball picks, considering they rank last in the West Coast Conference in knocking down just 61.4 percent of their tries from the charity stripe.  San Francisco does manage to get after it on the defensive end, as it allows just 64.1 points per game.  After out-rebounding its first five opponents by a margin of 11.4 boards a game, the team has been outperformed on the glass by a margin of 39.7 to 29.7 in its last four affairs.

Sports bettors will likely back the Dons due to their 10-2 ATS mark on a neutral floor versus a winning team, while the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS when playing at a neutral site.

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