Well, last time I got 5 of 9 correct and last week’s total was brought to a final of 21 correct, 13 incorrect, good enough for 61%. Tonight’s big schedule offers a lot of good lines and I’ve selected 13 of them for betting purposes. Bets and lines are taken from Bodog.
Al Jefferson over/under 26.5 Pts+Rebs vs NJN
OVER. Jefferson has been on a roll of sorts. He’s averaged 29.6 Pts+Rebs in his last 5 games and he should be in for a good rebounding game against Brook Lopez who now seems to be allergic to rebounding. He fell just under this last game against the Nets with 25 Pts+Rebs, but he should go over tonight. Last game he had 25 pts and 10 rebs against the Wizards.
Paul Millsap over/under 17 pts vs NJN
UNDER. Millsap has scored 11, 11, and 17 in his past three games. He did have a 19 point night last game against New Jersey, but if he only attempts between 11 and 13 shots as he has the last two games, he’ll have a rough time scoring 17.
Sasha Vujacic over/under 13 pts vs UTA
OVER. Vujacic has scored 13 or more in all four of his last foru games and has averaged 15.2 points over the last five games. Raja Bell will likely be defending him, and while Bell has been a good defender throughout his career, he no longer is as quick as he used to be and will have trouble fighting around screens to stay with Vujacic.
Jrue Holiday over/under 21 pts+asts vs ORL
UNDER. Holiday had a horrible game last time against the Magic managing just 5 pts and 5 assists that night. He’s also been struggling of late, having an average of 14.5 Pts + asts over his last two games. Nelson is undersized to defend him, but if he should get going, Stan Van Gundy can always counter with Gilbert Arenas whose size makes him a better matchup against Holiday.
Dwight Howard over/under 37 pts+rebs vs PHI
OVER. Howard always has big games against the Sixers. Why? They have absolutely no one to matchup with him. Last game against Philly he went for 26 points and 20 boards and there’s no reason at all to expect anything different tonight. Spencer Hawes and Marresse Speights just can’t cover Dwight Howard, nor can they keep him off the boards.
Paul Pierce over/under 19.5 pts vs DET
OVER. Pierce has scored 33 & 21 in the two previous meetings between these teams this year and while he has struggled of late, Detroit’s weak perimeter defense should afford Pierce plenty of opportunities to either get to the hole or draw fouls in mid range.
Zach Randolph over/under 34.5 pts+rebs vs NOH
OVER. Randolph has averaged over 40 pts+rebs for his last 7 games and has been on an absolute tear. He’s coming off a game where he fell just below with 34, but the night before that he went for 23 points and 20 rebounds against the Mavericks. I’d be very surprised if Randolph doesen’t have a big game given that he will be lined up against the ultra soft David West.
Amar’e Stoudemire over/under 27.5 pts vs HOU
OVER. Though Amar’e went for just 25 last game against the Rockets, I think that was a fluke. The game pace will be very fast, as indicated by NBA oddsmakers setting the opening line at 218 and Amar’e won’t be challenged much once he gets past Scola into the weak interior of Jordan Hill and Patrick Patterson.
Pau Gasol over/under 17 pts vs DAL
OVER. Gasol has scored 20 or more in 5 of his last 7 games and there’s no reason he won’t have a big game tonight. Tyson Chandler is a decent defender and rebounder but Gasol is too talented offensively for most centers and Chandler isn’t any different in that respect.
Kevin Durant over/under 30 pts vs DEN
OVER. Again, the fast paced nature of this game should help Durant have a big night. Working further to his advantage is the fact that Carmelo doesn’t play much defense and with his future in Denver in question his intensity on that end may be even less.
Carmelo Anthony over/under 24.5 pts vs OKC
UNDER. Melo has scored just 12 points in each of his last two games and his heart just isn’t in it. I guess Bodog doesn’t take things like that into account in setting the line at just over his season average. Before these last two 12 point outings he had 21 and 28, but just 8 the game before that.
DeMarcus Cousins over/under 21.5 Pts+rebs vs POR
OVER. HE has been at 22 or more in all three of his past three games, and while Portland does have some interior talent in Camby and Aldridge, Cousins has strung together an impressive streak of games dating back to late December and has been playing above his season average in that stretch of games.
Darren Collison over/under 20 Pts+Asts vs GSW
OVER. Collison is coming off a monster game against the Clippers in which he scored 30 points and recorded 8 assists. I’m thinking that momentum, along with the fact that it is Golden State and the tempo will be fast should be enough for Collison to have a big game.
