Last night I absolutely murdered these prop bets, going 8 for 9 and bringing my weekly total up to 12 right, 5 incorrect. There’s a thin schedule of games on tap for tonight, but still some good lines for the prop bets, so here’s tonight’s prop bets taken from Bodog. 4 unders, and 2 overs.
Nick Young over/under 20.5 pts vs MIN
OVER. Yeah, I know he wont score 43 every game, but coming off a game like that, when the line is less than half his previous game’s output, it’s definitely a good over. It’s not just that 43 point game either. In the previous four games he scored 21+ two times and presumably he gets 40+ minutes again tonight which will give him a great shot at going over 20.5
Kevin Love over/under 22.5 pts vs WAS
OVER. Love has scored 23 or more in 3 of his last 6 games, but two of those three games were 30+ point games and Washington isn’t tough on the interior, which means a lot of put backs for Love.
Kevin Love over/under 16.5 rebs vs WAS
OVER. He’s had 17 or more boards in 5 of his last 6 games and had a 20-20 game against a much tougher interior defense in the Spurs. 16.5 is 0.7 above his season average, but given his recent play it’s a very good ‘over.’
Hedo Turkoglu over/under 13 pts vs OKC
UNDER. Hedo has scored 13 or less in all 5 of his last 5 games, but that isn’t the real reason I am going with an under on this. The Magic played last night and he’ll be on the road in this second leg of a back to back…and he’ll be chasing Durant around all night leaving him with less energy to expend on offense.
Kevin Durant over/under 29 pts vs ORL
OVER. Orlando is a tough defensive team, but without Mikael Pietrus and Matt Barnes, both of whom are no longer with the Magic, Durant should have his way on offense. Turkoglu isn’t a bad defender, it’s just that he’s not a particularly good one either and Durant’s game relies on a lot of midrange shots meaning he won’t necessarily have to contend with Dwight Howard in the paint.
Dwight Howard over/under 35.5 pts+rebs vs OKC
UNDER. Dwight played heavy minutes in the overtime loss to the Hornets last night and Ibaka will provide enough resistance to keep him from having another 20-20 game like he did last night. While I never do doubt Dwight’s ability to deliver in big games, he’s just not going to have the vigor to do it tonight.
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