NBA Playoffs Game Two Betting Picks: Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs

2016 NBA Playoffs
Western Conference Semifinals – Game #2
#3 Oklahoma City Thunder at #2 San Antonio Spurs
Spurs Lead Best of Seven Series 1-0
Monday, May 2, 2016, 9:35 pm Eastern, TV: TNT
AT&T Center – San Antonio, Texas
Opening Line: San Antonio -7 1/2
Current Line: San Antonio -7 1/2
Opening Total: 202
Current Total: 202 1/2
Opening Money Line: Spurs -335 / Thunder +270
Current Money Line: Spurs -360 / Thunder +300

The Spurs crushed the Thunder in game one and look to take a 2-0 series lead Monday night at home.
The Spurs crushed the Thunder in game one and look to take a 2-0 series lead Monday night at home.

Many people thought the series between the San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder would be the most competitive of the four second round series. It still might be, but in game one it was far from competitive. The Spurs crushed the Thunder 124-92. Game two is Monday night in San Antonio. The series will then take a break until Game three in OKC Friday night to allow the two Eastern Conference series to catch up.

Oklahoma City is coached by Billy Donovan. Oklahoma City is 55-27 and won the Northwest Division by 11 games over the Portland Trail Blazers and were the #3 seed in the West. OKC is 40-47-3 ATS and the total is 42-46 this season. The Thunder beat the Dallas Mavericks in five games in the first round. All four Thunder wins in the series were by double digits.

San Antonio is coached by Gregg Popovich. San Antonio is 48-39 ATS and the total is 36-49-2 this season. The Spurs went 67-15 in the regular season and won the Southwest Division by 25 games over the 42-40 Grizzlies and Dallas Mavericks. Normally, 67 wins would get you the #1 seed and home court through the playoffs, but the Golden State Warriors won an NBA record 73 games. San Antonio swept the Grizzlies in the first round.

San Antonio was a 6.5 point favorite in game one and the total was 200. The Spurs tied an NBA playoff record with 43 points in the first quarter and the rout was on. San Antonio led by as many as 43 before winning by 32. They dominated on both sides of the ball. The Spurs shot 60.7% from the field. LaMarcus Aldridge had 38 points. Kawhi Leonard had 25 points. The duo were a combined 28/36 from the field. Conversely, the Thunder’s star du0 of Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook combined for 30 points on 11/34 shooting.

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Oklahoma City is outscoring teams 112-83 in the playoffs. The Thunder are #1 in scoring in the playoffs. OKC is shooting 47.6% from the field and 36.4% from three point range. Oklahoma City makes 78.2% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 43.6% from the field and 29% from three point range. OKC averages 47.2 rebounds per game and opponents average 35 per game. The Thunder are #2 in rebounds allowed and #1 in rebounding. Oklahoma City averages 23 assists, 15.5 turnovers, 7.4 steals and 5.9 blocks per game.

Kevin Durant averages 26 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 3.2 assists during the playoffs. Russell Westbrook averages 26 points, 7.2 rebounds, 11.2 assists and 1.6 steals per game. He had 18 triple doubles this season to tie Magic Johnson in 1981-82 for the most in the last last 40 seasons. Center Enes Kanter averages 15.2 points and 7 rebounds per game. He is probable with a hip injury. Forward Serge Ibaka averages 12.6 points, 6.2 rebounds, 1.4 steals, and 1.4 blocks per game. Dion Waiters averages 11 points, 3 rebounds, 3.2 assists and 1 steal per game. Steven Adams, Randy Foye, Cameron Payne, Anthony Morrow, Nick Collison, and Andre Roberson will also get minutes in the rotation.  Forward Mitch McGary is questionable for personal reasons.

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San Antonio is outscoring teams 103-81 in the playoffs. San Antonio is shooting 48.5% from the field and 47.1% from three point range. The Spurs make 82.4% of their free throws. Opponents are shooting 39.4% from the field and 29.7% from three point range.  San Antonio averages 42 rebounds per game and opponents average 41 per game. San Antonio averages 24.5 assists, 12.5 turnovers, 8.3 steals and 5.9 blocks per game.

Kawhi Leonard averages 21.5 points, 4.8 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 2.75 steals and 2.75 blocks  per game. LaMarcus Aldridge averages 14.5 points, 8 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.75 blocks per game. Tony Parker averages 9.8 points and 4.8 assists. Manu Ginobil, Tim Duncan. Patty Mills, Kevin Martin Boris Diaw, Danny Green and David West will also get time in the rotation.

Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS after a straight up loss, after a double digit loss and against teams with winning records, 6-2 in Monday games, 9-3 against teams with winning records, 5-2 in road games, and 7-3 after failing to cover. The Thunder have covered four of the last five games in this series.

San Antonio is 7-1 ATS in Conference semifinal games, 5-1 after a straight up win, overall, and against Western Conference teams, 4-1 against teams with winning records, 5-11 on one day rest, 3-7 after a cover, 4-10 after scoring 100 points or more, 2-6 after a double digit loss, 1-4 in Monday games, and 1-6 against Northwest teams. The favorite is 19-7-1 ATS and the home team is 18-8-1 in this series recently.

If Oklahoma City doesn’t play better defense, this will be a short series. San Antonio plays incredible team defense, but can score too. I think this game will be closer, but I still like San Antonio to win in a high scoring game.

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