NBA Playoffs Game Three Betting Preview: #4 Washington Wizards at #5 Atlanta Hawks

2017 NBA Playoffs
Eastern Conference First Round Game #3
#4 Washington Wizards at #5 Atlanta Hawks
Wizards Lead Best of Seven Series 2-0
Saturday, April 22, 2017, 5:30 pm Eastern, TV: TNT
Philips Arena – Atlanta, Georgia
Opening Line: Atlanta -2 1/2
Current Line: Atlanta -2 1/2
Opening Total: 210
Current Total: 210
Opening Money Line: Hawks -145 / Wizards +125
Current Money Line: Hawks -143 / Wizards +123

The Hawks look to get back into the series against the Wizards in game three Saturday in Atlanta.

The Washington Wizards held serve at home with two wins against the Atlanta Hawks in the Eastern Conference quarterfinal series. Now, the series switches to Atlanta for the next two games, starting with game three Saturday.

Washington is coached by Scott Brooks. The Wizards were 49-33 in the regular season and are the #4 seed in the East. The Wizards are 44-39-1 ATS and the total is 52-32 this season.Atlanta is coached by Mike Budenholzer. The Hawks were 43-39 in the regular season and are the #5 seed in the East. The Hawks are 39-45 ATS and the total is 33-49-2.

Washington won game one 114-107 and game two 109-101 Wednesday night. The Wizards were 5.5 point favorites in  game two and the total was 212. The Hawks led 24-23 at the end of the first, but the Wizards would lead 51-43 at halftime. Atlanta outscored Washington 35-23 in the third to take a four point lead into the fourth. The game was back and forth until the last 3 minutes, when the Wizards pulled away for the eight point win.

Atlanta shot 32/79 from the field including 4/20 from three point range. The Hawks made 33/38 of their free throws. The Hawks had 52 rebounds, 17 assists, 18 turnovers, 6 steals and 6 blocks. Atlanta had 4 fast break and 44 points in the paint. Washington shot 39/86 from the field including 7/22 from three point range. The Wizards made 24/33 free throws. Washington had 56 rebounds, 22 assists, 11 turnovers, 10 steals and 11 blocks. The Wizards had 16 fast break points and 40 points in the paint.

Paul Millsap had 27 points, 10 rebounds, 4 assists and 2 steals for the Hawks. Dennis Schroder had 23 points, 6 assists and 4 rebounds. Tim Hardway, Jr. Had 19 points. Taurean Prince had 12 points and 4 rebounds. John Wall had 32 points, 9 assists and 5 rebounds for the Wizards. Bradley Beal had 31 points, 3 assists, 3 steals and 2 rebounds. Marcin Gortat had 14 points, 10 rebounds, 3 assists and 5 blocks. Brandon Jennings had 10 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists.

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Washington is outscoring teams 109-107 this season. The Wizards are #5 in scoring but #21 in points allowed in the NBA. Washington is shooting 47.5% from the field and 37.2% from 3 point range. The Wizards are in the top ten in both categories. Washington makes 78.4% from the free throw line. Opponents are shooting 46.6% from the field and 36.4% from 3 point range. Washington is #20 or worse in both categories. The Wizards average 42.8 rebounds per game and opponents average 43 per game. The Wizards average 23.9 assists, 13.5 turnovers, 8.5 steals and 4.1 blocks per game.

John Wall averages 23.1 points, 4.2 rebounds, 10.7 assists and 2 blocks per game. Bradley Beal averages 23.1 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Markieff Morris averages 14 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Otto Porter, Jr. averages 13.4 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.5 steals per game. Bojan Bogdanovic averages 12.7 points and 3.1 assists per game.  Marcin Gortat averages 10.8 points, 10.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. Marcus Thornton, Kelly Oubre, Jr., Jason Smith, Ian Mahinmi. Trey Burke and Brandon Jennings will also get time in the rotation Oubre is probable with a knee injury. Mahinmi is out until late April with a calf injury.

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Atlanta is being outscored 104-103 this season. The Hawks are #10 in points allowed but #22 in scoring. Atlanta is shooting 45.1% from the field and 34.1% from 3 point range. Atlanta is shooting  72.8% from the free throw line and are #28 in that category. Opponents are shooting 44.4% from the field and 35.7% from 3 point range. The Hawks are #5 in field goal defense. Atlanta averages 44.4 rebounds and opponents average 43.9 per game. The Hawks are #9 in rebounding. Atlanta averages 23.6 assists, 14.2 turnovers, 8.2 steals and 4.8 blocks per game.

Forward Paul Millsap averages 18.1 points, 7.7 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 1.3 steals per game.  Dennis Schroder averages 17.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, 6.3 assists and 1 steal per game. Tim Hardaway, Jr. averages 14.5 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. Dwight Howard averages 13.5 points, 12.7 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1.2 blocks per game. Howard is probable with a back injury.  Kent Bazemore averages 11 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.3 steals per game.  Ersan Ilyasova averages 10.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists. Thabo Sefolosha, Mike Muscala, Taurean Prince, Mike Dunleavy, Malcolm Delaney, Kris Humphries and Jose Calderon will alos get minutes in the rotation.

Washington is 4-0 ATS after allowing more than 100 points, overall, against Eastern Conference teams, and after scoring 100 points or more, 10-1 in first round games, 4-1 against Southeast teams, 6-2 in Saturday games, 21-8 on two days rest, 5-2 after a cover, and 11-5 against teams with winning home records. The Wizards are 4-1 ATS in the last five games against the Hawks. The under is 4-1 in this series recently.

Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in Saturday games, 5-11 in Conference quarterfinal games, 4-10 after failing to cover and at home, 7-19 against Southeast teams, 1-5 after a straight up loss, and 1-7 against teams with losing road records. The over is 10-3 in Atlanta in this series recently. The home team is 5-2 ATS in this series recently.

Washington won two relatively close games at home, but I think the Hawks get back into the series with a close win at home.

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