NBA Playoffs Game Four Betting Picks: #4 Washington Wizards at #5 Atlanta Hawks

2017 NBA Playoffs
Eastern Conference First Round Game #4
#4 Washington Wizards at #5 Atlanta Hawks
Wizards Lead Best of Seven Series 2-1
Monday, April 24, 2017, 8:00 pm Eastern, TV: TNT
Philips Arena – Atlanta, Georgia
Opening Line: Atlanta -3
Current Line: Atlanta -2 1/2
Opening Total: 211 1/2
Current Total: 211 1/2
Opening Money Line: Hawks -150 / Wizards +130
Current Money Line: Hawks -142 / Wizards +122

The Wizards look to take a 3-1 series lead against the Hawks Monday night in game four.

The home team has won every game in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinal between the Washington Wizards and Atlanta Hawks. The Wizards lead the series 2-1 as they play game four Monday night in Atlanta.

Washington is coached by Scott Brooks. The Wizards were 49-33 in the regular season and are the #4 seed in the East. The Wizards are 44-40-1 ATS and the total is 53-32 this season. Atlanta is coached by Mike Budenholzer. The Hawks were 43-39 in the regular season and are the #5 seed in the East. The Hawks are 40-45 ATS and the total is 34-49-2.

Washington won game one 114-107 and game two 109-101, both at home. Atlanta won game three 116-98 Saturday to get back into the series. The Hawks were 2.5 point favorites and the total was 211.5. Atlanta jumped out to a 38-20 at the end of the first and never looked back. They would maintain the 18 point lead going into halftime, and led by 23 going into the fourth.

Washington shot 37/89 from the field including 7/29 from three point range. The Wizards made 17 of 20 free throws. Washington had 51 rebounds, 16 assists, 16 turnovers, 6 steals and 4 blocks. The Wizards had 23 fast break points and 34 points in the paint. Atlanta shot 44/89 from the field including 9/25 from three point range. The Hawks made 19/32 free throws. Atlanta had 62 rebounds, 26 assists, 12 turnovers, six steals and 5 blocks. The Hawks had 9 fast break points and 60 points in the paint.

John Wall had 29 points, 7 assists and 4 rebounds for the Wizards. Brandon Jennings had 13 points and 4 assists. Bradley Beal had 12 points and 5 rebounds. Bojan Bogdanovic had 11 points and 7 rebounds. Paul Millsap had 29 points, 14 rebounds, and 5 assists for the Hawks. Dennis Schroder had 27 points and 9 assists. Taurean Prince had 16 points and 4 rebounds.

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Washington is outscoring teams 109-107 this season. The Wizards are #5 in scoring but #21 in points allowed in the NBA. Washington is shooting 47.5% from the field and 37.2% from 3 point range. The Wizards are in the top ten in both categories. Washington makes 78.4% from the free throw line. Opponents are shooting 46.6% from the field and 36.4% from 3 point range. Washington is #20 or worse in both categories. The Wizards average 42.8 rebounds per game and opponents average 43 per game. The Wizards average 23.9 assists, 13.5 turnovers, 8.5 steals and 4.1 blocks per game.

John Wall averages 23.1 points, 4.2 rebounds, 10.7 assists and 2 blocks per game. Bradley Beal averages 23.1 points, 3.1 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Markieff Morris averages 14 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.7 assists and 1.1 steals per game. Otto Porter, Jr. averages 13.4 points, 6.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.5 steals per game. He is probable with a neck injury. Bojan Bogdanovic averages 12.7 points and 3.1 assists per game.  Marcin Gortat averages 10.8 points, 10.4 rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. Marcus Thornton, Kelly Oubre, Jr., Jason Smith, Ian Mahinmi. Trey Burke and Brandon Jennings will also get time in the rotation. Mahinmi is out until late April with a calf injury.

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Atlanta is being outscored 104-103 this season. The Hawks are #10 in points allowed but #22 in scoring. Atlanta is shooting 45.1% from the field and 34.1% from 3 point range. Atlanta is shooting  72.8% from the free throw line and are #28 in that category. Opponents are shooting 44.4% from the field and 35.7% from 3 point range. The Hawks are #5 in field goal defense. Atlanta averages 44.4 rebounds and opponents average 43.9 per game. The Hawks are #9 in rebounding. Atlanta averages 23.6 assists, 14.2 turnovers, 8.2 steals and 4.8 blocks per game.

Forward Paul Millsap averages 18.1 points, 7.7 rebounds, 3.7 assists, and 1.3 steals per game.  Dennis Schroder averages 17.9 points, 3.1 rebounds, 6.3 assists and 1 steal per game. Tim Hardaway, Jr. averages 14.5 points, 2.8 rebounds and 2.3 assists per game. Dwight Howard averages 13.5 points, 12.7 rebounds, 1.4 assists, and 1.2 blocks per game. Howard is probable with a back injury.  Kent Bazemore averages 11 points, 3.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists and 1.3 steals per game.  Ersan Ilyasova averages 10.4 points, 5.8 rebounds and 1.6 assists. He is probable with a calf injury. Thabo Sefolosha, Mike Muscala, Taurean Prince, Mike Dunleavy, Malcolm Delaney, Kris Humphries and Jose Calderon will also get minutes in the rotation.

Washington is 8-1 ATS in first round games, 5-1 after a straight up loss of more than 10 points, 4-1 after allowing 100 points or more, overall and against Eastern Conference teams, 3-7 after a straight up loss and against teams with winning records, 2-5 in road games, 3-8 after failing to cover, and 5-16-1 on one day rest. The over is 4-1 in Atlanta in this series recently.

Atlanta is 4-0 ATS at home, 5-1 after a straight up win, 5-13 against Southeast Division teams, 2-7 in Monday games and against teams with losing road records, and 1-8 after a double digit win. The home team is 6-2 ATS in this series recently and the favorite is 5-2 ATS.

I think the Wizards are still a better team than the Hawks, despite what happened in game three. They did finish six games ahead of Atlanta in the Southeast Division. I like the Wizards to win a close game on the road in a high scoring game.

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