NBA Picks: Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors

Toronto Raptors at Golden State Warriors
Monday, 3/4/13, 10:35 PM EST, TV:  CSBA
Opening Point Spread:  Golden State -6
Current Betting Line:  Golden State -6
Opening Total:  203
Current Total:  203
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Golden State Warriors have won their last seven home games versus the Toronto Raptors
The Golden State Warriors have won their last seven home games versus the Toronto Raptors

Toronto has dropped four games in a row, including a 122-114 overtime loss to the Milwaukee Bucks as 6.5-point road underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the total for the first time in four contests.  “I loved our fight with Rudy (Gay) being out,” commented Raptors coach Dwane Casey.  Gay has averaged 20.5 points since being acquired from the Memphis Grizzlies by trade.  He is currently listed as questionable on the injury report with a back injury.  Toronto is 14-18-1 ATS in March the last two-plus seasons, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA picks against the spread.

The Raptors have lost seven consecutive road games to the Warriors, while they also dropped a 114-102 decision as two-point home underdogs on Jan. 28.  Toronto has been out-rebounded in a season-high nine consecutive games, which has led to a minus-75 margin on the glass in that stretch.  The team has yielded an average of 119.1 points during its current losing streak at Oracle Arena.

Golden State has lost its last four games, including a 104-97 setback to the Philadelphia 76ers as two-point road favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the total for the third time in four contests.  “Our problem was not offensively, our problem was defensively,” commented Warriors coach Mark Jackson.  The Warriors are 18-7 at home this season, including a 7-2 mark versus Eastern Conference opponents.  Point guard Stephen Curry is the player to watch on the offensive end, averaging 27.6 points in five games versus the Raptors.  Golden State is 12-9 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite over the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when looking over the NBA betting lines Monday night.

The Warriors have been outscored 29.4 to 24.8 in the first quarter over their last 13 games, while their reserves have scored just 38 points over the last two games.  Golden State is 24-6 when leading at halftime and has won 26 of 33 when out-rebounding the opposition.

Sports bettors will likely back the Warriors due to their 18-7 ATS mark at home following a road trip of seven or more days, while the Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last four contests.

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