NBA Picks: Golden State Warriors at Atlanta Hawks

Klay Thompson-warriors-2013Golden State at Atlanta
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Line: GS -3.5
M/L: GS -155; ATL +135
Total: 207

Betting Odds courtesy of Bovada

The Golden State Warriors won an impressive 123-114 contest against the Miami Heat last night, and the team now travels north to face the Atlanta Hawks in a game NBA oddsmakers still favor the Warriors by 3.5-points on 0 days rest.

Golden State is 21-13 on the season and is among the favorites in the Western Conference due to the strong shooting of its backcourt of Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry. Curry leads the team in scoring with 23.4 points per game, while also dishing out the 2nd most assists in the league with 9.6 per game.

Thompson adds 19.3 points per night while forward David Lee is his usual double-double machine, averaging 18.8 points and 9.9 rebounds. Andre Iguodala has been instrumental in the success of the perimeter defense and though Iggy is averaging the lowest point total since his rookie season, he shoots just 7.4 attempts per game and is primarily used for his defensive prowess. Andrew Bogut is no longer near an elite center but is still a good strong body and he averages seven points and seven boards per game in 27 minutes a night.

Atlanta is in its state of perpetually flirting with .500-ish records and first round exits, but in an extraordinarily weak year in the East the Hawks are hoping to be able to make it past the first round this season. The team is 18-14 and narrowly escaped defeat at that hands of the Celtics on Tuesday night, winning 92-91 while forward Paul Millsap finished with 34 points and 15 rebounds.

Millsap has kept the Hawks relevant and produced offensively enough to replace what the team lost in Josh Smith, but the Hawks are not a good defensive team (allow 101.4 points per game). The team leads in the NBA in assists per game and Jeff Teague leads the Hawks with 8.2 dimes per contest. Center Al Horford is a perennial All-Star and is posting 18.6 points and 8.4 rebounds per game with an outstanding PER of 22.4.

GS Trends: OVER 5-1 in last 6 following ATS win; 4-1 ATS in last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in previous game; UNDER 17-5 in last 22 after allowing 100 or more in previous game.

ATL Trends: OVER 6-0 in last 6 following SU win; 0-4 ATS in last 4 home games vs teams with winning road records; OVER 5-0 in last 5 at home.

Head-to-head: UNDER 4-1 in last 5 meetings; Warriors 6-2 ATS in last 8 meetings; OVER 9-4 in last 13 meetings in Atlanta.

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