NBA Picks Against the Spread: Dallas Mavericks vs. Los Angeles Clippers

Dallas Mavericks at Los Angeles Clippers
Wednesday, 12/5/12, 10:30 PM EST, TV: ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Los Angeles -9
Current Betting Line:  Los Angeles -8.5
Opening Total:  199
Current Total:  198.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Los Angeles Clippers are 10-9 ATS as home favorites of 6.5 to 9 points since 2010

Dallas snapped a three-game losing streak with a 92-77 win over the Detroit Pistons as seven-point home favorites on Saturday, while going UNDER the total for the third time in four contests.  The Mavericks are 2-6 on the road this season, but have split two opportunities against Western Conference opponents.  The franchise has won 17 of its last 20 regular-season meetings in this series, but lost two of three games in last year’s season series.  Dallas is 7-5 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points over the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when looking at the pro basketball odds page for Wednesday.

The Mavericks are being led offensively by guard O.J. Mayo, who is averaging 20.2 points this season, while forward Shawn Marion averaged 10.7 points and 6.7 rebounds in three meetings with the Clippers last year.  Dallas allowed its fewest points of the season last time out, as the previous low was 90 points versus the Minnesota Timberwolves on Nov. 12.  Mayo is the only player that has started all 17 games for the team this year, while he came off the bench in all 66 games for the Memphis Grizzlies a year ago.

Los Angeles has won three games in a row since suffering through a four-game losing streak, coming away with a 105-104 victory over the Utah Jazz as two-point road favorites on Monday night.  The Clippers have gone 1-6 ATS in their last seven games, which could be an important betting trend to consider when making your NBA picks against the spread, while the OVER has cashed in their last five contests.  Los Angeles is 10-9 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 2010, while the UNDER is 11-8 in that situation.

The Clippers had lost their previous 95 games when allowing an opponent to shoot 56 percent or better from the field until defeating the Jazz, but they lead the league in committing just 53 turnovers over their last five games.  Los Angeles continues to get major production out of its bench, as the group averages 40.4 points per game, which is fourth-best in the NBA.

Sports bettors will likely back the Clippers due to the favorite going 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, while the Mavericks are 3-13 ATS following a SU win.

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