NBA Odds, Picks: Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors

Stephen Curry-warriors-2015-3Phoenix Suns at Golden State Warriors
Time: 9:30 PM CT (ESPN)
Spread: GSW -12.5
Total: 219

Betting odds c/o Bovada

The streak is over in Golden State, but for the 24-1 Warriors the real streak is still just “one.” One championship, hoping to roll over into a two-season streak. The Dubs host the Phoenix Suns in the second game of an ESPN double deader as 12.5-point favorites.

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Stephen Curry and his teammates can now just focus on playing basketball again. Curry said “The perspective of being 24-1 is a little different than undefeated. You don’t have to answer questions about it, hopefully no more creative shirts in the stands and stuff like that. We can just play basketball. It is about how we’re playing. Obviously we want to continue to win games, we have to take our game to the next level.”

For Curry, that level cannot be much higher. The reigning MVP is leading the league in scoring at 32.3 points per game while shooting 45.8 percent on threes, attempting 11.1 per night. His fellow “Splash Brother” Klay Thompson has been somewhat grounded this season, but he is still averaging 17.9 points per game on 43.5 percent three-point shooting. Draymond Green has been the jack of all trades the Warriors have thrived upon though.

The Michigan State Spartan is averaging 13.9 points, 8.7 rebounds and seven assists per game while also averaging 2.68 steals/blocks per game. Green is one of seven Warriors posting an above-average PER and he signed a max contract over the summer. Harrison Barnes has become a better scorer in his own right with 13.4 points per game this season. The Warriors are getting the most out of a nine-man rotation, and have been winning these games with an interim coach in Luke Walton.

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The Suns are 11-15 and have lost two of its past three games to Dallas and Portland with a win against Minnesota sandwiched between. The Suns backcourt of Eric Bledsoe and Brandon Knight has been sensational but the rest of the roster is lacking. Bledsoe and Knight combine to average 42.5 points per game but no other Sun averages more than Markieff Morris’ 11.4 per game.

Morris could potentially be on the trade block and he voiced his displeasure over the Suns dealing his twin brother over the offseason. Given that Phoenix is making no real push towards anything at this moment, it would be unsurprising to see Morris elsewhere by the trade deadline in February.

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ATS TRENDS

Phoenix
  • Suns are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Suns are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Suns are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
  • Suns are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Suns are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
  • Suns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.
Golden State
  • Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Western Conference.
  • Warriors are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Warriors are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Warriors are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
  • Warriors are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up loss.
  • Warriors are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

OU TRENDS

Phoenix
  • Under is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. Western Conference.
  • Over is 4-0 in Suns last 4 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Under is 3-0-1 in Suns last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 6-1 in Suns last 7 Wednesday games.
  • Under is 5-1-1 in Suns last 7 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Suns last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Over is 4-1 in Suns last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Under is 4-1-1 in Suns last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 9-3-1 in Suns last 13 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 5-2 in Suns last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Golden State
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Under is 5-0 in Warriors last 5 games following a straight up loss.
  • Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 6-0 in Warriors last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Over is 8-1 in Warriors last 9 overall.
  • Over is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Under is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Under is 3-1-1 in Warriors last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Under is 14-5-2 in Warriors last 21 home games.
  • Over is 8-3-1 in Warriors last 12 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
  • Under is 8-3 in Warriors last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Over is 5-2 in Warriors last 7 vs. NBA Pacific.

HEAD TO HEAD

  • Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
  • Over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Golden State.
  • Suns are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.
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