NBA Betting Picks: Memphis Grizzlies vs. Denver Nuggets

Memphis Grizzlies at Denver Nuggets
Friday, 12/14/12, 10:30 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Denver -1
Current Betting Line:  Denver -1
Opening Total:  194
Current Total:  196
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Memphis Grizzlies have lost back-to-back games heading into Friday night’s game at the Pepsi Center

Memphis has dropped back-to-back games, including an 82-80 setback to the Phoenix Suns as 6.5-point road favorites on Wednesday, while going UNDER the total for the second straight contest.  The Grizzlies have lost three of their last five games due to averaging 17.8 turnovers over that stretch.  “That’s our game, taking care of the basketball,” stated Grizzlies forward Zach Randolph.  “These last two games we haven’t been doing that.”  Memphis is 6-0 ATS when facing a team that averages 99 or more points offensively, with the OVER going 4-2 in that situation.

The Grizzlies have compiled a winning 5-3 record on the road this season, but have gone 3-3 versus Western Conference opponents.  Memphis is 2-24 in its last 26 road games against Denver since the 1998-99 season, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA picks against he spread on Friday night.  Randolph is certainly the player to watch on both sides of the court, averaging 17.6 points and 12.8 rebounds per game, which has resulted in an NBA-high 16 double-doubles.

Denver has fallen into a very inconsistent pattern in starting the year with an 11-12 record, as it has alternated wins and losses over its last seven games.  The Nuggets finished out a five-game road trip with a 108-105 defeat to the Minnesota Timberwolves two nights ago.  “We lost. Any time we lose, it’s a terrible game,” commented forward Kenneth Faried.  He is averaging 15.0 points and 11.8 rebounds at the Pepsi Center this year.  Denver is 19-8 ATS after playing three consecutive road games since 2010, which is a strong betting trend to consider when looking over the pro basketball odds page.

The Nuggets have played only six home games this year, as they’ve tallied a 5-1 record in that situation, including a 3-1 mark versus conference rivals.  Denver has won the season series six times in the last eight years against Memphis, while it has gone 28-4 all-time when playing in the Mile High City in the series.  The franchise was the first since 1985-86 to play 17 of its first 23 games on the road.

Sports bettors will likely back the Nuggets due to their 5-0 ATS mark at home after a road trip of seven or more days, while the Grizzlies are 6-13 ATS in the Mile High City.

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