MWC Picks and Odds: Nevada Wolfpack at Hawaii Warriors

Cody-Fajardo-nevada-2013Nevada-Hawaii
Time: NOON ET
Spread: NEV -3
M/L: NEV -150; HAW +130
Total: 51.5

Betting odds courtesy of Bookmaker

The Nevada Wolfpack are 4-3 on the season and will enter this matchup against Hawaii as three-point favorites in a game that should be a high scoring affair with the college odds reflecting a 51.5 total.

Nevada has been good offensively, scoring 30.4 points per game while surrendering 27.7 on defense. The team balances its attack well, ranking 60th in both rushing and passing yards this season. Last week, Nevada pulled a big win over BYU, taking down the Cougars 42-35. With upcoming games against San Diego State, Air Force, Fresno and a season-closer against UNLV, the potential is there for the Wolfpack to end its season with five straight wins.

QB Cody Fajardo is the team, and there’s no two ways about it. He’s thrown 10 receiving TDs while rushing for an additional eight. Fajardo has 1,686 passing yards with a 62 percent completion ratio, and he has three receiving targets with 370 yards or more. The trio has also accounted for five of the Wolfpack’s 10 receiving TDs. In the backfield, the Wolfpack has two main ball carriers, Don Jackson and QB Fajardo, who have combined for over 900 yards.

Despite the Hawaii Warriors being just 2-5, this game is entirely winnable. The problem for the Warriors thus far has been putting points on the board. The team has scored 16 points or less in four of its seven games, including last week’s 20-10 loss to San Diego State. With a 1-1 conference record, the Warriors will need to have a run of victories to get into MWC contention.

QB Ikaika Woosley has been pretty ineffective with a 48 percent completion ratio and just 5.44 yards per pass. He’s thrown six TDs and four INTs, just barely exceeding the 100 point mark for QB rating.

The Warriors have three rushers with nearly 200 yeards, and Woosley has rushed for 114 yards too. The balanced attack of the Warriors could allow them to cover the spread, and bettors may be enticed to place a moneyline bet on Hawaii in this one.

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