Monday Night NFL Betting Action: Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers

Week 4 NFL Betting Trend Report
Live NFL betting lines available HERE at Maddux Sports!

Miami at Pittsburgh

Time: 7:15 PM CT (ESPN)

Spread: PIT -15.5

Total: 43.5

Odds c/o 5dimes

The Miami Dolphins may not win a game this season. At 0-6 it travels to face the Pittsburgh Steelers as 15.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the game is set at 43.5 points according to NFL Oddsmakers at 5dimes, and the game will kick off Monday night at 7:15 CST on ESPN.

MIA

Miami has been blown out five of six games, with one near victory in a 16-17 loss to the Washington Redskins in Week 5. Miami ranks third-to-last in both passing yards (192.0) and rushing yards (66.7) while having the league’s worst offense at just 10.5 points per game. The Dolphins surrender 35.2 per contest, giving it a -24.7 point differential through six games this season.

Ryan Fitzpatrick has thrown just 59 percent for completion with three touchdowns and five interceptions. He has been sacked six times for 28 lost yards and has a passer rating of just 69.4. Fitzpatrick also is not a rushing threat himself, with five attempts for 10 total yards, though he has rushed for one touchdown. Miami’s top-two rushers both average just 3.7 and 4.6 yards-per-carry, and neither has rushed for 20-plus yards on any attempts.

Preston Williams and DeVante Parker each have caught for 314 and 284 yards on the season, while Parker has three of the team’s four receiving touchdowns, and Williams has the other.

The pair has done most of the work, with running back Kenyan Drake and tight end Mike Gesicki serving as the No. 3 and No. 4 receivers. Drake has 22 catches for 174 yards and has made six first downs. The Dolphins overall is a very futile offense, but it does have two strong receivers making catches from a very mediocre quarterback in Fitzpatrick. The real problem is that even if Miami can score, its defense has not proven at all effective and has given up 35 points per game. That is a losing formula in the NFL.

PITT

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-4 coming off a 24-17 victory over the San Diego Chargers. It lost the week prior to Baltimore and defeated Cincinnati in Week 4 after having started the season 0-3 with losses to New England, Seattle, and San Francisco.

The Steelers rank just No. 28 in passing yards at 200.0 and No. 27 in rushing yards at 76.5. The team has a bottom-third offense at No 21, averaging just 20.5 points per game. Pittsburgh is strong defensively, though, limiting opponents to just 21.8 per game, giving it a fighting chance at being at least a .500 football team in 2019.

Mason Rudolph started the season at quarterback and went 1-3. and the team is 1-1 since Ben Roethlisberger returned to the lineup. The veteran has thrown just 56.5 percent for completion and averaged just 5.7 yards per completion. He also has yet to throw a touchdown while having one interception and two sacks. He has rushed just one time for seven yards. One might argue Mason Rudolph will be ready sooner than later, as he threw 67 percent with 166.3 yards per game and seven touchdowns to his two picks. Regardless of which it is, James Conner has rushed for 235 yards but averages just 3.2 yards-per-carry and has three touchdown rushes of the team’s four total. Connor is also No. 2 in receiving yardage with 231 yards, two touchdowns, and 12 first downs. JuJu Smith-Schuster is the lead wideout with 340 yards, two touchdowns, and 12 first downs.

ATS TRENDS (C/O COVERS):

Miami
  • Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
  • Dolphins are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
  • Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Dolphins are 7-24-1 ATS in their last 32 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Dolphins are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Dolphins are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games.
  • Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
  • Dolphins are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. AFC.
  • Dolphins are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.
Pittsburgh
  • Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Steelers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
  • Steelers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
  • Steelers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Monday games.
  • Steelers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 8.
  • Steelers are 50-24-2 ATS in their last 76 games in October.
  • Steelers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Steelers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.
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