Monday Night Football Betting Picks: Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys

Washington Redskins at Dallas Cowboys
AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas

Monday, October 27, 2014, 8:30 pm Eastern, TV: ESPN
Opening Line: Dallas -7 1/2 (-115)
Current Line: Dallas -10 (+110)
Opening Total: 51
Current Total: 49 1/2
Opening Money Line: Cowboys -475 / Redskins +380
Current Money Line: Cowboys -440 / Redskins +355

Dallas looks to extend their six game winning streak against the rival Redskins Monday night.
Dallas looks to extend their six game winning streak against the rival Redskins Monday night.

The Dallas Cowboys were projected to have a down year after 3 straight 8-8 seasons. However, after a season opening loss to the San Francisco 49ers the Cowboys have won 6 straight games. Dallas is tied with the Arizona Cardinals and Denver Broncos for the best record in the NFL. Those two teams have already had their byes so the Cowboys will have the best record in the league if they can beat the rival Washington Redskins Monday night in Arlington. The Redskins are 2-5 this season.

Since 2001, Dallas leads the series against Washington 17-9. The Cowboys won both games against the Redskins last season including 31-16 at home and 24-23 in Washington. Dallas makes the return trip to Landover to close out the regular season.

Washington is coached by Jay Gruden. The Redskins are in last lace in the NFC East. Washington has home wins over the Jacksonville Jaguars 41-10 and last week against the Tennessee Titans 19-17. The Tennessee win snapped a 4 game losing streak for the Redskins. Washington has road losses at the Houston Texans 17-6, Philadelphia Eagles 37-34, and Arizona Cardinals 30-20, plus home losses to the Seattle Seahawks 27-17 and New York Giants 45-14. The Redskins are 2-5 ATS and the total is 4-3 this season. Washington was a 6 point favorite against Tennessee and the total was 46.

Dallas is coached by Jason Garrett. The Cowboys lead the NFC East by a game over the Eagles. Dallas lost at home to the 49ers 28-17. The Cowboys have road wins at the Titans 26-10, St. Louis Rams 34-31, and Seattle Seahawks 30-23, plus home wins over the New Orleans Saints 38-17, Texans 20-17 in overtime, and last week against the Giants 31-21. Dallas is 5-2 ATS and the total is 4-3 this season. The Cowboys were 4.5 point favorites against the Giants and the total was 47.

Washington is being outscored 26-22 this season. The Redskins are #25 in points allowed and #23 in scoring. Washington is averaging 389 total yards per game including 290 passing yards and 99 rushing yards. The Redskins are #7 or better in total offense and passing. Washington is 28/87 on third and fourth down conversions, and opponents are 42/99. The Redskins have 16 sacks and have allowed 14 this season. Washington is -9 in turnovers. The Redskins have allowed 2 defensive touchdowns and a special teams touchdown.

Kirk Cousins took over at quarterback against Jacksonville for an injured Robert Griffin III. Griffin is officially listed as questionable Monday night with an ankle injury, but is most likely out until at least next week.Washington will likely start Colt McCoy at quarterback who replaced a largely ineffective Cousins against Tennessee. McCoy led the Redskins to a come from behind victory against the Titans. Cousins has completed 61.8% of his passes for 1,710 yards with 10 touchdowns and 9 interceptions. McCoy completed 11 of 12 passes against the Titans for 128 yards including a 70 yard touchdown pass to Pierre Garcon on his first snap.

Running back Alfred Morris has 115 carries for 440 yards and 3 touchdowns, plus 5 touchdowns. Roy Helu has 25 carries for 134 yards and a touchdown, plus 20 catches for 249 yards. Receiver DeSean Jackson has 26 catches for 528 yards and 3 touchdowns. Pierre Garcon has 35 catches for 396 yards and 3 touchdowns.   Tight end Niles Paul has 25 catches for 384 yards and a touchdown. Andre Roberts has 22 catches for 237 yards and 2 touchdowns. Darrell Young has only 6 catches but two touchdowns. Eleven defensive players are listed on the injury report for Washington.

Dallas is outscoring teams 28-21 this season. The Cowboys are #6 in scoring and #9 in points allowed. Dallas is averaging 402 yards per game on offense including 242 passing and 160 rushing yards per game. The Cowboys are #4 i n total offense and lead the league in rushing. The Cowboys were projected to have one of the worst defenses in NFL history but they have overachieved this season. Dallas is allowing 344 yards per game including 230 passing and 113 rushing yards per game. Dallas is 55/95 on third and fourth down conversions and opponents are 39/92. Dallas has 12 sacks and has allowed 7 this season. The Cowboys are -1 in turnovers. Dallas has one defensive touchdown and has allowed 3 this season.

Dallas quarterback Tony Romo has completed 69.2% of his passes for 1,789 yards with 14 touchdowns and 6 interceptions. Running back DeMarco Murray is putting up some MVP like numbers and has 187 carries for 913 yards and 7 touchdowns, along with 22 catches for 159 yards. He became the first running back in NFL history to rush for over 100 yards in the first 7 games of the season, but has had some fumbling issues. Joseph Randle has 18 carries for 120 yards. Receiver Dez Bryant has 45 catches for  590 yards and 4 touchdowns. Terrance Williams has 19 catches for 338 yards and 6 touchdowns. Tight end Jason Witten has 23 catches for 266 yards and a touchdown. Gavin Escobar only has 7 catches but 3 touchdowns. Twelve defensive players are listed on the injury report.

Washington is 5-11-1 ATS after allowing less than 250 total yards, 2-5 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards and after passing for more than 250 yards, 2-6 against NFC East teams, 2-7 in Monday games, after failing to cover and in road games, 1-4 against teams with winning records, and against NFC teams, 1-6 after a straight up win, 0-4 in Week 8, after gaining more than 350 total yards, in October and overall. The underdog is 24-8 ATS in this series in the last 32 games. The Redskins are 7-1 ATS in the last 8 against the Cowboys and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games in Dallas.

Dallas is 5-0 ATS after allowing more than 350 total yards, 4-0 against NFC teams, 6-1 in October and against NFC East teams, 5-1 after a straight up win and overall, 9-3 after gaining more than 350 total yards, 8-20 against teams with losing records, 4-10 against teams with losing road records, and 0-4 in Monday games. The under is 8-3 in this series recently. The home team is 4-1 ATS in this series recently.

Dallas has been playing really well, and should beat a not very good Redskins team starting their third string quarterback at home. However, Dallas has a showdown with the Cardinals next week and could overlook this team even though they are bitter rivals. I think the Cowboys win but the redskins keep it closer than people think.

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