MLB Picks: Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals

The Atlanta Braves (69-45) and Washington Nationals (54-59) will close out a three-game National League East series Wednesday night at Nationals Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET

Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals 

The Washington Nationals are 3-9 versus the Atlanta Braves this season
The Washington Nationals are 3-9 versus the Atlanta Braves this season

Atlanta has won 12 games in a row, as it picked up a 2-1 victory over Washington as +105 road underdogs Tuesday, while going UNDER the betting total for a fourth consecutive contest.  The Braves have increased their lead in the division standings to 14.5 games over the Nationals, which is their largest such lead since Aug. 28, 2003.  The club has won nine of 12 meetings in this season series, with the bullpen not allowing a run in 30 innings.  Atlanta is 9-5 as road underdogs of +100 to +125 this season, with the OVER going 8-6 in that situation.

Braves starting pitcher Kris Medlen (8-10, 3.85 ERA) has won back-to-back outings, including a 6-4 road victory over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out, as he allowed four runs and six hits over six frames.  The right-hander is 4-5 with a 4.43 ERA in 11 road appearances, surrendering 12 home runs in 67 combined innings.  In 12 career games (three starts) versus the Nationals, Medlen has compiled a 2-2 record and 2.12 ERA, including a 1-2 mark and 0.64 ERA in six appearances at this ballpark.

Washington is 6-46 when scoring two or fewer runs this season, as the clubhouse tries to rally emotionally in the series finale.  “There is nothing we can do now except keep playing,” stated Nationals first baseman Adam LaRoche.  It’s important to point out that nine of the 12 games between these two teams have been decided by one or two runs.  Washington is 3-7 at home with a money line of -100 to -125, but the squad has dropped nine of 10 games versus winning teams in the second half this season.

Nationals starting pitcher Jordan Zimmerman (13-6, 3.06 ERA) snapped a three-game losing streak last time out, as he picked up a 4-1 road victory over the Milwaukee Brewers.  The right-hander is 9-2 with a 2.83 ERA in 13 home games this season, with opposing hitters batting .222 against him.  In six career games versus the Braves, Zimmerman has tallied a 3-1 record and 2.97 ERA.

Sports bettors will likely back the Braves due to their 4-0 record in Medlen’s last four starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

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