MLB Odds, Picks: Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants

Tim Lincecum wasn't much more than mediocre last year, but he shined against the Rockies.
Tim Lincecum wasn’t much more than mediocre last year, and his fastball is under 90 miles per hour.

Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Time: 10:15 PM EST
Betting Line: SFG -1.5
Moneyline: SFG -110; COL EVEN
Run total: 7

Betting odds c/o Bovada

The San Francisco Giants fell the first two games of its three-game series against the Colorado Rockies and MLB oddsmakers are expecting the Giants to take a turn for the better, favoring San Francisco by 1.5 runs in major league baseball lines. The run total for the game is set at seven.

Colorado will send Tyler Matzek to the mound. He made his season debut against the Chicago Cubs on Friday, but he didn’t last five innings. Matzo allowed only one run, but he walked three and got high into pitch counts. He’s a marginal pitcher and is the major reason that the Giants are favored to win this game after losing the previous two. The Giants are 1-0 against Matzek and bat .308 as a team. Matzo has struck out seven in seven innings, but the overall effect is not a good one. In the win over the Cubs, he struck out four as well, but his issues with control mitigated any chance he had of compiling a dominant outing.

In 2014, Matzek went 6-11 in 117.2 innings pitched. He struck out 91 batters and posted an ERA of 4.05 while allowing batters to go .267.

Tim Lincecum threw seven scoreless innings in a no-decision against the San Diego Padres on Friday. Last season, he was 5-0 against the Padres with a 1.40 ERA. This dominance stood in contrast to his 7-9 record against the rest of the MLB, and though his speed seems to be greatly down from his dominant days, he was able to work the strike zone to his advantage against the Padres.

Lincecum hasn’t really been a dominant pitcher since the 2011 season, and last year he was just 12-9 with a 4.74 ERA. Oddsmakers are betting he returns to his former dominance in this matchup, or at the minimum that he continues his stellar play vs. the Rockies. In his career against Colorado, Lincecum has thrown 176.2 innings with 177 strikeouts and a 3.92 ERA.

Colorado is 6-2 on the season led by D.J. LeMahieu who is hitting .516 (16 of 31) with six RBIs on the season. Corey Dickerson is also batting .406 with 10 RBIs on 13 hits. Troy Tulowitzki is off to a hot start, as well, having gone .355 in 31 at bats, though the slugger has already struck out eight times. The Rockies have five hitters over .300 at the plate who have all seen 28 at bats or more. The offense is just clicking. Lincecum is the one guy that has always seemed to quell it.

The Giants are 3-6 on the year. Nori Aoki has been stellar having hit 15 of 37 with six walks. The Giants aren’t really getting any home run production with Buster Posey’s two homers accounting for part of the only five San Francisco home runs this season. Angel Pagan is off to a good start hitting .333 with four doubles and two RBIs.


• COL are 12-39 in their last 51 road games.
• COL are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
• COL are 6-2 in their last 8 games on grass.

San Francisco:
• SF are 21-7 in their last 28 Wed. games.
• SF are 19-7 in their last 26 home games.
• SF are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a favorite.

Head to Head:
• Over is 9-3-1 in Lincecums last 13 starts vs. COL.
• Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings.

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