Ivy League Game II: Brown Bears at Cornell Big Red

Brown Bears AT Cornell Big Red
Mar 4, 2011 at 7 PM EST
Opening Line:  Cornell -6
Current Line:  Cornell -6.5
Opening Total:  147
Current Total:  149
Opening Moneyline: Corn -290 / Brown +240
Current Moneyline:  Corn -290 / Brown +240

St. John's DePaul Big East Preview
Cornell is favored by 6.5 at the moment

Tonight’s Ivy League battle brings together the 11-15 Brown Bears and the 8-18 Cornell Big Red  Both teams are 4-8 in Ivy League play, tying them for 6th in the Ivy League.

Cornell has lost 3 of their last 5 games, with wins over Pennsylvania and Dartmouth, and losses against Princeton (twice) and Harvard.  Brown has also lost 3 of their last 5 with wins over Princeton and Dartmouth, and losses to Harvard (twice) and Pennsyvlania.

Brown has a negative point differential of -1.0, scoring 71.6 a game, but giving up 72.6.  Cornell is at -3.0, scoring 67.8 and giving up 70.8.

Some betting trends:

Brown is 1-7 SU in their last 8 games on the road and the total has gone OVER in 4 of Brown’s last 5 games on the road.  Brown is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games on the road against Cornell.  Brown is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road against Cornell.  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brown’s last 6 games on the road against Cornell.

Cornell is 6-17 SU in their last 23 games and the total has gone OVER In 6 of their last 8 games.  COrnell is 17-7 SU in their last 24 games at home and they are 3-7 SU in their last 10 at home.  Cornell is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against Brown and the total has gone OVER In 4 of Cornell’s last 6 games against Brown.  Cornell is 2-5-1 ATS In their last 8 against Brown at home.  Cornell is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home against Brown.  The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cornell’s last 6 games at home against Brown.

Cornell is led by the trio of Chris Wroblewski, Andrew Ferry, and Errick Peck, who combine for 38.4 points per game, 58% of Cornell’s scoring output.  The 6’0″ junior Wroblewski is the only Cornell player to play over thirty minutes a game, and he does play well.  He puts up 15.5 points per game and 5.9 assists giving Cornell a decent point guard at least.  Moreover, he shoots 41% from three (32 of 78).   He’s had a couple of impressive outings, scoring 25 against Saint Boniventure and 29 against Stony Brook, but he hasn’t had any particularly impressive games against the better teams that Cornell has played (and their schedule IS soft).

Brown is led by the trio of Peter Sullivan, Tucker Halpern, and Sean McGonagill, who collectively average 38.4 points per game, 53% of Brown’s total scoring.  Sullivan leads the way with 14.0 points per game and also leads the team in rebounding with 5.7 boards per night.  Sullivan missed 5 games earlier in the year, so he is only 3rd in total points this year for Brown.  Halpern is an effective three point shooter, having hit 53 of 134 (39.6%) and is capable of having big games.  He recently lit Harvard up for 29 points in a 6 point Brown loss.

Tonight’s game is mainly in Cornell’s favor because of the fact that they are at home.  Brown, if they play composed and focused ball, could steal the game.

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