Ivy League Game #3: Pennsylvania At Brown Betting Preview

Pennsylvania Quakers AT Brown Bears
Feb 18, 2011 at 7 PM EST
Opening Line:  Penn -2
Current Line: Penn -2
Opening Total:  140.5
Current Total:  143.5
Opening Moneyline:  Penn -135 / Brown +115
Current Moneyline:  Penn -130 / Brown +110

Pennsylvania is favored by 2 tonight over Brown

Tonight’s game brings together two Ivy league rivals that are having sub par seasons.  Both Brown (9-13) and Pennsylvania sit (9-12) under .500 and both are in the lower half of the Ivy League standings.  Pennsylvania is 3-4 in Ivy league play and Brown is 2-6 in league play.  Brown has lost 5 of their last 7 games and Pennsylvania has lost their last 4 games (to Harvard, Princeton, Cornell and Columbia).  The last time the teams met, it was at Pennsylvania and the Quakers won by 2 points in overtime.

Both teams have roughly the same point differential, not surprising since their records are nearly identical.  Pennsylvania’s is -2.0 and Brown is -2.1.  Brown scores more and gives up more per game than Pennsylvania, playing a slightly faster paced game.

Some betting trends:

Pennsylvania is 0-5 SU in their last 5 road games and 5-1 SU in their last 6 road games against Brown.

Brown is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and the total has gone OVER in all 5 of their last 5 games.  Brown is 4-2 SU In their last 6 at home and 1-4 SU in their last 5 against Pennsylvania.  The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brown’s last 8 games against Pennsylvania and Brown is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 home games against the Quakers.  Brown is 1-5 SU in their last 6 home games against the Pennsylvania Quakers.

Pennsylvania is led by the quartet of Zach Rosen, Jack Eggleston, Tyler Bernardini, and Miles Cartwright.  The four combine to average 52.2 points per game, 78% of the Quakers total scoring.  Jack Eggleston, a 6’8″ senior forward, leads Pennsylvania in minutes played with 38.3 minutes per game, and is second in scoring with 14.4 points per game.  He has scored in double figures in all but 5 games, and Pennsylvania is 2-3 when he failes to reach double figures.  Eggleston went 11 of 15 from the floor in 39 minutes of play last game against Brown, ending up with 25 points and 12 rebounds.  Rosen, a 6’1″ junior point guard, averages a team best 14.5 points per game and a team best 5.4 assists per game.  His best game came in a 1 point loss to Harvard when he scored 21 points and dished out 13 assists.  Last game against Brown he played 39 minutes and went for 13 points and 5 assists.

Brown is led by the trio of Peter Sullivan, Tucker Halpern, and Sean McGonagill.  Sullivan, a 6’5″ senior forward, leads the Bears in both scoring (13.1 ppg) and rebounding (5.7 rpg).  He has not played in the last 5 games, but should be good to go tonight, as he is not listed as injured anymore.  Since the Bears only lost by 2 to Penn last time without their leading scorer, if Sullivan plays tonight, the sgame could easily swing in the Bears’ favor.  If not, Halpern, a 6’8″ sophomore forward, will attempt to pick up the slack.  He is second on the Bears in scoring with 12.4 points per game and he went for 11 points and 5 assists last game against Pennsylvania.

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