Odds courtesy of 5dimes
The 1-3 New Mexico Lobos have only managed to beat UTEP this season, but they will find themselves big 11-point favorites against an 0-5 New Mexico State team this week.
The Lobos have been effective generating offense on the ground. The team ranks 3rd in the nation in rushing yardage with 324.5 per game, but due to a lack of pass game the offense is still only moderately effective, scoring 31 points per game. Kasey Carrier is the primary back and has already amassed 559 yards on 93 carries.
Cole Gautsche (44 carries, 276 yards), Crusoe Gongbay (21 carries, 200 yards) and quarterback Clayton Mitchem (24 carries, just 38 yards) all see time moving the ball, as well. No receiver has more than five receptions and Clayton Mitchem has thrown just 48.4 percent for completion this season.
New Mexico State has not fared well thus far this season. The offense is averaging just 15.6 points per game while the defense is perhaps even worse, giving up 45.4 points per game. The Aggies have had some success with the pass and have a reasonably good QB in Andrew McDonald, but the team has a lack of options in the backfield and the sets have been too predictable with no back having a lot of success when McDonald isn’t airing it out.
OVER 4-0 in last 4 road games; 0-6 ATS in last 6 following ATS win; 0-4 ATS in last 4 after accumulating less than 100 rushing yards previous game
Lobos 0-3-1 ATS vs teams with losing records; UNDER 7-0 in last 7 after allowing more than 280 yards passing in previous game; 0-4-1 ATS in last 5 after allowing more than 200 rushing yards previous game.
Head-to-head: Road team 5-0 ATS in last 5 meetings; NMS 4-1 ATS in last 5 meetings at New Mexico.