Last night of player prop bets I went 3-4-1, bringing the total on the year to 9-7-1. Tonight I have keyed on in some of the stars and looked at their recent peformances to obtain an idea of whether they will fall over or under the Bodog totals for tonight. Arenas, Bosh, and Jennings have been on fire, and if they continue their current play they will easily exceed the totals. Durant and Millsap both have struggled, and I expect Durant to struggle against Ariza tonight, while I expect Millsap to rebound against the Bucks. Here’s a look at tonight’s player prop bets.
Gilbert Arenas Over/Under 19.5 pts VS MIA
OVER. Arenas has finally stepped it up in recent games and went for 31 against the Magic last outing. Opposing point guards have had big nights against Carlos Arroyo who is not the greatest of defenders. In Arenas’ last five games, all but one have been over 19 points, the lone exception being against Philly when he went for 17.
Chris Bosh Total Pts+Rebs Over/Under 27.5 VS WAS
OVER. Bosh seems to have finally overcome “lap dog” status and begun to play like the all star that he has been over his career. Over his last eight games he is averaging 22.7 ppg and 9.7 rpg. Tonight he will be covered by Andray Blatche, who is more known for his offense than his defense, though he is not a poor defender. Bosh will have to work defensively but should be in for a big night.
Kevin Durant Over/Under 29 pts VS NOH
UNDER. Durant has been having an off year, shooting only 42% from the floor, below the 47.6% he shot over the last two seasons before this year. He is averaging 27.4 ppg thus far and has been under 29 points in 3 of his last 4 games. Tonight he will face Trevor Ariza, a great defender. It has all the makings of what should be an under 29 point game for Durant. It’s hard to bet against the young buck scoring 29 points, but the stats seem to back up the fact that he indeed will not.
Brandon Jennings Total Pts+Asts 24 vs UTA
OVER. Jennings has caught fire recently and had a big game last time they faced Utah on March 12th, 2010, with 23 pts and 6 asts, 5 over the total predicted by Bodog for tonight. The last two games Jennings is averaging 28.5 ppg and 6.5 apg. He will give Deron Williams all he can handle tonight and provided he takes wise shots he should manage to go over 24 total pts+asts.
Paul Millsap Total Pts 17
OVER. Millsap has struggled lately, but should be in for a rebound-night against Milwaukee. Though he has failed to score more than 17 in 5 of his last 6 games, opposing power forwards tend to have big nights against the likes of Drew Gooden and Ilyasova. It’s hard to gamble on an over of a player that has been underpeforming like Millsap, but eventually they have to break their slump and I think this is the night Millsap does.