Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Sunday, 11/11/12, 4:25 PM EST, TV: FOX
Opening Point Spread: Philadelphia -1.5
Current Betting Line: Dallas -1.5
Opening Total: 45.5
Current Total: 45
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker
Dallas has dropped four of its last five games, including a 19-13 loss to the Atlanta Falcons as four-point road underdogs in Week 9, while going UNDER the total for the second time in three contests. “We’ve dug ourselves a hole and we just got to keep fighting,” commented Cowboys defensive end Jason Hatcher. The Cowboys slipped in a big way defensively last time out, allowing a season-high 453 yards. Dallas is 2-5 ATS on the road when the total is between 42.5 and 45 points the last two-plus seasons.
The Cowboys and Eagles lead the NFC in giveaways and own the worst turnover differentials in the conference at minus-11 and minus-nine, respectively. Dallas leads the entire conference in throwing 13 interceptions, which falls squarely on the throwing shoulder of quarterback Tony Romo. He threw for 321 yards against the Falcons, but the ground game was limited to just 65 yards. Starting running back DeMarco Murray is expected to miss a fourth straight game, which will likely cause the team to try and win this NFC contest through the air.
Philadelphia owns the 10th-best offense in the National Football League, but that hasn’t translated into points, which has led the franchise to four consecutive losses. “We’ve got to find a way to win a football game,” stated Eagles signal-caller Michael Vick. The Eagles are last in the NFC with a 37 percent touchdown rate inside the red zone, which isn’t surprising due to the number of turnovers they’ve had when reaching the 20-yard line. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS at home this season, with the OVER going 2-1 in that situation.
The Eagles need to find a way to protect Vick when facing a blitzing pass rush, as the completed just 6-of-15 passes against the New Orleans Saints in that situation in a 28-13 loss on Monday Night Football. Philadelphia has had just 23 pass plays of 20 yards or more, which pales in comparison to the 64 it had in 2011. On the defensive side of the ball, Philadelphia allowed 141 rushing yards last week, but should improve upon that number in this matchup.
Sports bettors will likely play the total in this affair, as the UNDER is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
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