College Hoops Preview: #16 Kansas State Wildcats At TCU Horned Frogs

#16 Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Christian Horned Frogs
Wednesday, January 16, 2013, 9:00 pm Eastern, TV:
Daniel-Meyer Coliseum – Fort Worth, Texas
Opening Line: Kansas St -11
Current Line: Kansas St -11
Opening Total: 110
Current Total: 112
Opening Money Line: Kansas St -725 / TCU +575
Current Money Line: Kansas St -700 / TCU +550

Kansas St is an 11 point favorite at TCU Wednesday night. The new Big 12 foes haven’t played since 1999.

The #16 Kansas State Wildcats are 13-2 this season and 2-0 in the Big 12. The Wildcats are tied with Oklahoma, a half game behind Kansas early in the Big 12 race. The Wildcats travel to the 9-7 Texas Christian Horned Frogs Wednesday night. The Horned Frogs are 0-3 in the Big 12 in their first year in conference and tied with Texas for last place in the conference.

This is the sixth meeting between Kansas St and TCU, but the teams haven’t played since the 1999 NIT. Kansas St leads the series 3-2. The Wildcats haven’t played in Fort Worth since 1969. TCU will make the return trip to Manhattan March 5.

Kansas St is coached by Bruce Weber. The only losses came to Michigan in the pre-season NIT at Madison Square Garden, and to Gonzaga in Seattle. Both Michigan and Gonzaga are currently ranked in the top 10. The Wildcats have won 6 straight games. K-State has key wins over Delaware in New York City, at George Washington, Florida, Oklahoma St, and at West Virginia Saturday  65-64. The Wildcats are 4-6-1 ATS and the total is 3-4 this season.

TCU is coached by Trent Johnson. The Horned Frogs have losses at home to SMU, Houston, and Texas Tech, a loss to Northwestern in a tournament in South Padre Island, Texas, and road losses at Tulsa, Oklahoma St and Baylor last Saturday 51-40.  TCU has lost 3 straight games. The Horned Frogs have key wins over UAB at South Padre, Navy, and at Rice. TCU is 5-6 ATS and the total is 1-4 this season.

Kansas St is outscoring teams 70-57 this season. The Wildcats are #20 in points allowed. K-State is shooting 42.7% from the field and 32.9% from 3 point range. The Wildcats make 65.5% of their free throws. Kansas St is #27 in rebounding with 39.9 per game, and they give up 29.1 per game. K-State opponents are shooting 39.3% from the field and 27.3% from 3 point range. The Wildcats are #10 in three point defense nationally. Kansas St averages 16 assists, 7 steals, 4 blocks, and 13 turnovers per game.

Guard Rodney McGruder averages 14.9 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2 assists, and 1.2 steals per game. Guard Angel Rodriguez averages 9.5 points, 4.4 assists, 1.8 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. Guard Will Spradling averages 8.4 points, 3.5 assists, 3.1 rebounds, and 1.1 steals per game. Forward Thomas Gipson averages 7.5 points and 6.3 rebounds per game. Guard Shane Southwell averages  7.1 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.5 assists. Forward Nino Williams averages 7 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. Forward Jordan Henriquez averages 5.1 points, 4.5 rebounds, and 1.9 blocks per game. Martavious Irving, Adrian Diaz, D.J. Johnson, and Omari Lawrence will also see significant time in the rotation. The Wildcats are deep but don’t have a lot of size. Diaz and Henriquez are the only players over 6′-8″ on the roster.

TCU is being outscored 55.3-55.2 this season. The Horned Frogs are #344 in scoring out of 347 teams, but #8 in points allowed. TCU is shooting 42.6% from the field and 33.1% from 3 point range. The Horned Frogs are #339 in free throw shooting making just 60% from the line. TCU averages 32.5 rebounds and allow 28.5 per game. Frog opponents are shooting 40.4% from the field and 29.5% from 3 point range. TCU is #33 in three point defense. The Horned Frogs average 10 assists, 6 steals, 3 blocks, and 14 turnovers per game.

Guard Kyan Anderson averages 12.1 points, 3.7 assists, 1.9 rebounds, and 1.5 steals per game. Guard Garlon Green averages 11.3 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 1 assist per game. Amric Fields is out for the season with a knee injury. He averaged 7.3 points and 2.7 rebounds a game, but only played in 3 games. Forward Adrick McKinney averages 7.1 points, and 6.8 rebounds per game. Forward Devonta Abron averages 6.9 points, 5.4 rebounds and 0.9 blocks per game. Guard Jarvis Ray is out indefinitely with a foot injury. He averaged 6.2 points. Connell Crossland averages 5.4 points, and 5.1 rebounds per game. Nate Butler Lind, Charles Hill, Jr., and Clyde Smith III make up the rest of the rotation. Center Aaron Durley is out for the season with a knee injury but hasn’t played a game this season. TCU is even smaller than Kansas St with no player over 6′-8″ on the roster.

Kansas St is 3-1-1 ATS in Big 12 games, 3-8 in Wednesday games, 5-14-1 with a winning record, 2-6-1 after a straight up win, and overall, 0-5-1 in road games, and 0-4-1 against teams with winning home records.

TCU is 5-0 ATS after a straight up loss, 10-21 after a cover, 17-37 at home, and 3-12 at home against teams with winning road records.

This game should be low scoring as both have top 20 scoring defenses. Kansas St has at least some semblance of an offense, and should be able to outscore TCU even on the road.

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