College Football Week 8 Picks: UCF Knights vs. Louisville Cardinals

UCF Knights vs. Louisville Cardinals
Friday, 10/18/13, 8:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Louisville -13
Current Betting Line:  Louisville -12.5
Opening Total:  53.5
Current Total:  52.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Louisville Cardinals are 4-4 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011
The Louisville Cardinals are 4-4 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011

UCF is 3-0 on the road this season, which marks the first time it has won its first three games away from home in school history.  The Knights picked up a 24-17 victory over the Memphis Tigers as 9.5-point road favorites on Oct. 5, while going UNDER the betting total for the fourth time in five contests.  On Fridays, the program is 9-5 SU all-time, including a 38-0 road victory over Florida International in Week 2.  UCF is 1-7 SU and 4-4 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, which is important to consider when looking over the college football betting lines.

The Knights enter with a plus-seven turnover margin, which ranks tied for sixth among FBS schools nationally.  UCF has the fewest seniors on its roster in the country—something that can’t be ignored when making your college football betting picks Friday night.  Defensively, the unit is averaging 7.0 tackles for loss per game, which is its highest average since a 7.2 mark in 2009.  On the other side of the football, the offense has been incredibly balanced, averaging 144 rushing and 270 passing yards per game.

Louisville is set to play its third game in 14 days, as it ran its record to 6-0 overall and 2-0 in the American Athletic Conference with a 24-10 victory over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights as 19.5-point home favorites last week.  The Cardinals have allowed 44 points in six games this year and continue to lead the nation in scoring defense by giving up just 7.3 points per game.  The team tallied eight sacks last week—its most since 2010.  Louisville is 7-1 SU and 4-4 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points over the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 6-2 in that situation.

The Cardinals are led offensively by quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who has thrown for 1,862 yards in six games this year, while tossing 18 touchdowns compared to just two interceptions.  Louisville is averaging 41.0 points per game after scoring a season-low 24 points versus Rutgers, but it’s important to point out that Bridgewater has connected with numerous receivers this season.

Sports bettors will find that the Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after gaining 450 or more yards per game.

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