College Football Week 8 Picks: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
Saturday, 10/18/14, 3:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Alabama -12.5
Current Betting Line:  Alabama -13.5
Opening Total:  58.5
Current Total:  63.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Alabama Crimson Tide rank first in the SEC in total defense
The Alabama Crimson Tide rank first in the SEC in total defense

Texas A&M has dropped back-to-back games, including a 35-20 setback to the Ole Miss Rebels as 2.5-point home favorites last week, but it did win the statistical battle by 117 yards.  The Aggies have six wins against top-25 opponents under head coach Kevin Sumlin, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds, with each of those victories coming away from Kyle Field in College Station.  Texas A&M is 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-3 in that situation.

The Aggies are being led offensively by quarterback Kenny Hill, who has completed 197 -of-295 passes for 2,511 yards.  Texas A&M has shined in the red zone during the 2014 campaign, which is important to consider when making your Week 8 college football betting picks, as it has scored on 30-of-33 trips.  Offensively, the team has scored in 25-of-28 quarters, while it has never failed to score double-digit points in 85 games under Sumlin’s watch.

Alabama returns home after splitting a pair of road games, as it looks to build off a 14-13 victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks as nine-point favorites last Saturday, but it did get out-gained by a 108-yard margin in that matchup.  The Crimson Tide own a 4-2 all-time edge in this series, but head coach Nick Saban has dropped both games against the spread when meeting up with Sumlin.  Offensively, the team ranks fifth in the country in converting 51.8 percent of its third-down opportunities, while it has tallied a school-record 3,000 yards in its first six contests.  Alabama is 8-2 SUATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 6-3-1 in those 10 opportunities.

The Crimson Tide rank first in the Southeastern Conference in allowing just 277.2 yards per game, while sitting behind only the Rebels in giving up just 15.8 points per contest.  Alabama is led by Landon Collins on that side of the ball, as the junior safety has racked up 46 tackles and two interceptions.

Sports bettors will likely back the Crimson Tide due to their 3-1 SUATS mark as home favorites of 10.5 to 14 points.

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