College Football Week 8 Picks: South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals

South Florida Bulls at No. 16 Louisville Cardinals
Saturday, 10/20/12, 3:30 PM EST, TV:  ABC
Opening Point Spread:  Louisville -8
Current Betting Line:  Louisville -5.5
Opening Total:  52.5
Current Total:  54
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Louisville Cardinals will play their first home game in 35 days Saturday

South Florida returns to action following a bye week as it takes on Louisville inside Papa John’s Stadium, as the team looks to snap a four-game losing streak.  The Bulls are also out to avenge last year’s 34-24 loss to the Cardinals as 5.5-point home favorites.  The team has struggled on the defensive end this year, allowing a Big East Conference-worst 27.5 points per game, while surrendering an average of 438.6 total yards.  South Florida is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog the last two-plus years, with the UNDER going 4-2 in that situation.

The Bulls will need quarterback B.J. Daniels to play a superb game in order to pull off the upset, as he has thrown for 1,504 yards and 10 touchdowns.  The dual-threat signal-caller has also managed to rush for 277 yards and four scores.  The program owns a 5-4 all-time lead in this series, but has dropped three of four meetings on the road.

Louisville improved its record to 6-0 with a 45-35 victory over the Pittsburgh Panthers as 2.5-point favorites, as it served as the final game of a three-game road trip.  The Cardinals won those three contests by an average of 7.0 points, as they now look to improve upon their 3-0 mark at home.  It’s been 35 days since the team played in front of its home fans.  Louisville is 4-3 ATS as a home favorite of seven or fewer points the last two-plus years, while the UNDER is 6-1 in that situation.

The Cardinals have scored more than 30 points in all three home games this year, while averaging 467.7 yards per game in that situation.  Quarterback Teddy Bridgewater has thrown for 855 yards and five scores, while completing 81.8 percent of his throws inside this venue.  Louisville will be trying to go 2-0 in Big East play for just the second time in school history.

Sports bettors will likely back the Cardinals due to their 8-1 ATS mark in conference games, while the Bulls are 1-5 ATS in October.

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