College Football Week 8 Picks Against the Spread: Colorado Buffaloes vs. USC Trojans

Colorado Buffaloes at No. 11 USC Trojans
Saturday, 10/20/12, 6:00 PM EST, TV:  Pac-12 Network
Opening Point Spread:  USC -41
Current Betting Line:  USC -40
Opening Total:  57.5
Current Total:  57.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The USC Trojans defense has stepped up during the team’s current win streak

Colorado hits the road after losing back-to-back Pac-12 Conference home games against the Arizona State Sun Devils and UCLA Bruins, as the program was out-gained by a triple-digit margin in each contest.  The Buffaloes only win came on the road against the Washington State Cougars as 18.5-point underdogs, which also served as the only statistical win on the year.  Colorado is 0-3 ATS after two straight losses by 28 or more points, with the OVER going 2-1 in those affairs.

The Buffaloes are allowing a conference-worst 494.2 yards per game, which could be a problem with Saturday’s opponent racking up 561 yards of total offense in last year’s 42-17 win as 20-point road favorites.  Colorado allowed 281 yards on the ground, and 332 through the air in last week’s 51-17 setback to the Sun Devils in a mid-week primetime event.

USC returns to the Los Angeles Coliseum after playing four of its last five games away from home, as it will play in front of its own fans in four of the final six contests.  The Trojans have won all six meetings against the Buffaloes, including all three when serving as host.  Quarterback Matt Barkley should be excited for this matchup, considering he threw for a career high-tying six touchdowns last year.  He is averaging nearly 50 fewer yards passing through six games, but the rushing attack has been tremendous in averaging 209.7 yards in the team’s last three victories since a loss at Stanford.  USC is 0-2 ATS after a two-game road trip.

The Trojans came away with a 24-14 victory over the Washington Huskies last week, as they held onto a 24-7 halftime lead by winning the statistical battle by a 233-87 margin in the opening 30 minutes.  Running back Silas Redd was certainly the main storyline offensively in that affair, gaining 155 yards and scoring a touchdown inside CenturyLink Field.  On the defensive end, USC has limited its last three opponents to just 284.3 yards of offense.

Sports bettors will likely back the Trojans due to their 12-9 ATS mark versus conference opponents, while the Buffaloes are 2-9 ATS versus winning teams.

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