College Football Week 6 Picks: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, 10/4/14, 12:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Texas A&M -2.5
Current Betting Line:  Mississippi St -2.5
Opening Total:  63.5
Current Total:  75
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have moved from home underdogs to favorites Saturday
The Mississippi State Bulldogs have moved from home underdogs to favorites Saturday

Texas A&M will be seeking its first 6-0 start since 1994, which is important to consider when making your Week 6 college football betting picks, as it comes off a 35-28 overtime victory over the Arkansas Razorbacks as 9.5-point home favorites last Saturday.  The Aggies are being led offensively by sophomore quarterback Kenny Hill, who has completed 118 of 180 passes for 1,745 yards and 17 touchdowns this season—taking over the controls for the departed Johnny Manziel.  Texas A&M is 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-2 in that situation.

The Aggies and Baylor Bears are the only teams nationally that rank in the top 10 in passing, total and scoring defense, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds page.  Texas A&M has been at its best in the red zone—scoring on 25-of-27 trips inside the opponent’s 20-yard line with 22 touchdowns.  Defensively, the team has played much better this season after a horrid 2013 campaign, as it has limited foes to an average of 15.0 points and 376.4 yards per game.

Mississippi State is 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS through four games, as it enjoyed a bye week after picking up a 34-29 victory over the LSU Tigers as seven-point road underdogs on Sept. 20, while going OVER the betting total of 48.  The Bulldogs have racked up over 500 yards of total offense in each of their last five games dating back to last season—representing the longest such stretch in school history, with Heisman Trophy candidate Dak Prescott being the main reason for that success.  Mississippi State is 2-0 SUATS as home favorites since 2012.

The Bulldogs have scored 165 points heading into this affair at Davis Wade Stadium, which represents the highest such figure for the program through its first four games of a season.  Mississippi State has forced 23 turnovers in its last nine games dating back to last season, while its 34 tackles for loss is tops in the SEC and sits behind just four teams nationally.

Sports bettors will likely back the Aggies due to the Bulldogs being 2-3 ATS following a week off in their last five opportunities.

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