College Football Week 5 Picks: Texas Longhorns vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys

Texas Longhorns at Oklahoma State Cowboys
Saturday, 9/29/12, 7:50 PM EST, TV:  FOX
Opening Point Spread:  Oklahoma State -2
Current Betting Line:  Texas -2.5
Opening Total:  70
Current Total:  66
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Texas Longhorns are scoring a ton of points this season

Texas enjoyed a week off after capturing a 66-31 win over the Mississippi Rebels as 10.5-point road favorites, as the team has out-gained all three of its opponents to open up the 2012 college football season.  The 66 points it scored was the most its put up since the 2005 Big 12 Conference championship game.  Head coach Mack Brown has to be happy with the fact that the team has outscored opponents by a 42-0 margin in points off turnovers this year.  Texas is 4-2 ATS as a road favorite the last two-plus seasons, with the “over” going 4-2 in that situation.

The Longhorns own a 22-4 edge in the all-time series against the Cowboys, winning the last 12 times they’ve kicked off as a favorite.  Texas ranks seventh nationally in averaging 49.3 points per game, while sitting 28th in allowing 16.0 points per game.  Brown has done some of his best work off a bye week, going 18-4 in this type of spot during the regular season.  He has also led them to a dominating 12-2 record in conference openers.

Oklahoma State is set to begin defending its Big 12 title of a year ago, as the team will also be coming off a bye week after picking up a 65-24 win over Louisiana-Lafayette as 22.5-point home favorites.  The Cowboys have won eight straight home games, which is tied for the sixth longest mark in college football.  The program has won five straight games against AP top 25 teams, which could help it improve upon its even 8-8 record in conference openers the last 16 years.  Oklahoma State is 4-1 ATS after a week off the last two-plus seasons.

The Cowboys watched quarterback Wes Lunt fall to the ground with a knee injury a couple weeks ago, but J.W. Walsh has proven capable under center, while also giving the offense a dual-threat.  He completed 21 of 30 passes for 347 yards and four touchdowns two weeks ago.  “The way the offense clicked was amazing,” stated Walsh after the game.  Oklahoma State has caused just three takeaways this year, something that could be a major problem in this matchup, considering the stop unit has been known to take the ball away from its opponent the last couple years.

Sports bettors will likely back the Longhorns due to the road team being 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings, while the Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in the last six home meetings in this series.

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