College Football Week 4 Predictions: Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Boise State Broncos vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
Friday, 9/20/13, 9:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Fresno St -3
Current Betting Line:  Fresno St -3
Opening Total:  68.5
Current Total:  68
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Fresno State Bulldogs have lost seven consecutive meetings with the Boise State Broncos
The Fresno State Bulldogs have lost seven consecutive meetings with the Boise State Broncos

Boise State has won back-to-back games since starting the 2013 campaign with a loss, including a 42-20 victory over the Air Force Falcons as 23-point home favorites last Friday, while going OVER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.  The Broncos lead the all-time series with the Bulldogs by a 11-4 margin, including wins in the last seven meetings, which is something to consider when making your college football predictions in Week 4.  Boise State is 10-2 SU and 7-5 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 8-4 in that situation.

The Broncos are the highest-scoring team in that nation since 2000, as they’ve averaged 40.9 points per game over that span.  Boise State also leads all teams in college football with a 94-7 record in that period of time, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.  Quarterback Joe Southwick is coming off quite a performance, as he completed 27 of 29 passes against the Falcons.  The offensive line ranks fifth nationally in allowing just 0.67 sacks per game.

Fresno State has the opportunity to run away with the Mountain West Conference title if it walks away with a victory at Bulldog Stadium in this affair, as the program has climbed into the national rankings for the first time since 2008.  The Bulldogs have won their last eight home games, averaging 48.3 points and 526.3 yards of offense during that time, which happens to be the best eight-game offensive streak at this venue in school history.  Fresno State is 3-0 SUATS when the line is +3 to -3 the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 2-1 in those three opportunities.

The Bulldogs are searching for their first 3-0 start since 2004, while they’ve gone 10-0 under head coach Tim DeRuyter when scoring 30 or more points in a game.  Fresno State quarterback Derek Carr has thrown for 71 career touchdowns—needing just 13 to tie the school record.  His 71-to-17 touchdown-to-interception ratio is the second highest among all BCS signal-callers—trailing only Alabama’s A.J. McCarron.

Sports bettors will likely back the Broncos due to their 11-1 ATS mark in the last 12 meetings in this series.

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