College Football Week 4 Picks: Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. Baylor Bears

Louisiana Monroe Warhawks vs. Baylor Bears
Saturday, 9/21/13, 4:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Baylor -30
Current Betting Line:  Baylor -30
Opening Total:  72.5
Current Total:  74.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Baylor Bears are averaging 736.5 yards per game
The Baylor Bears are averaging 736.5 yards per game

Louisiana Monroe and Baylor went back and forth in a game that featured 89 total points and 1,109 yards of total offense last year, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.  The Warhawks suffered a 47-42 setback as 8.5-point home underdogs in that affair, while going OVER the betting total of 70.  The team set a new school record in running 104 plays in a 21-19 win over Wake Forest last week—holding the ball for 38:59.  Louisiana Monroe is 8-5 ATS as underdogs the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 8-5 in that situation.

The Warhawks are led offensively by quarterback Kolton Browning, who passed for 315 yards and recorded three passing touchdowns for a second consecutive week against the Demon Deacons.  He was named the Sun Belt Conference’s Offensive Player of the Week—completing 43 of 68 passes—giving him 827 career completions heading into Week 4.   The program led all teams nationally in returning 440 career starts on its roster, which can’t be ignored when making your college football picks Saturday.

Baylor owns a six-game winning streak as it prepares to play its final non-conference game of the 2013 campaign.  The Bears have also won their last 10 games when matching up with teams outside of the Big 12 Conference, while going 15-3 in that situation over the last five seasons.  Offensively, the unit paces the nation in averaging 736.5 yards per game, while going above the 400-yard mark in its last 29 games.  Baylor is 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in September since 2011, with the OVER going 6-1-1 in that situation.

The Bears aren’t all about offense, as the defense has forced two or more turnovers in eight of the team’s last nine games—posting a 17-2 record when accomplishing that feat over the last two-plus seasons.  Baylor quarterback Bryce Petty leads the country with a pass efficiency rating of 249.5, with Antwan Goodley and Tevin Reese being the main targets on the perimeter.  Running back Lache Seastrunk is also a quality player—rushing for 100-plus yards in a school-record six consecutive contests.

Sports bettors will likely back the Warhawks due to their 8-2 ATS mark in their last 10 road games.

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