College Football Week 4 Picks: Auburn Tigers vs. LSU Tigers

Auburn Tigers vs. LSU Tigers
Saturday, 9/21/13, 7:45 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  LSU -14
Current Betting Line:  LSU -17.5
Opening Total:  57
Current Total:  56
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

LSU Tigers are 6-3 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011
LSU Tigers are 6-3 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011

Auburn is 3-0 under first-year head coach Gus Malzahn, which isn’t very surprising due to the success he enjoyed as the program’s offensive coordinator from 2009-11.  The Tigers are 20-26-1 in the 47 previous meetings in this series, including a 5-15-1 mark in Baton Rouge.  Offensively, quarterback Nick Marshall’s 339 passing yards against Mississippi State were the most every by a quarterback for the program in his SEC debut, while also being the 16th-best single-game passing effort in school history.  Auburn is 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS as underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 4-2 in that situation.

The Tigers are one of just six teams that have not been scored on in the fourth quarter this season, while they’ve allowed only one third-quarter touchdown and three third-quarter field goals.  Auburn is 78-36-6 all-time in road openers, but has won 16 of its last 17 SEC road openers.  Seven of the last nine games in this series have been decided by seven points or less, while the home team has proven victorious in 12 of the last 14 matchups.

LSU enters the game with a 3-0 overall mark and has outscored its first three opponents by a 138-57 margin.  The Tigers have won 28 consecutive games in the month of September, which happens to be the longest such streak in that nation.  The program is 6-2 in conference openers under head coach Les Miles—winning the last six games in that situation.  Offenisvely, the team is averaging 46.0 points per game, with quarterback Zach Mettenberger leading the conference in pass efficiency.  LSU is 9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS as favorites of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011, which is important to consider when looking over the college football betting lines in Week 4.

The Tigers are 39-2 in Saturday Night games in Tiger Stadium under Miles, while posting a 63-5 record in that situation going back to 2000.  LSU hasn’t trailed this year, leading for all 180 minutes of game time, while scoring on all 15 of its trips inside the red zone.  Mettenberger is the only signal-caller in school history to have nine touchdown passes and to throw for 250-plus yards in the first three games of the season.  He has the benefit of having four running backs listed on the depth chart that have led the team in rushing for at least one game in their career.

Sports bettors will likely back LSU in this affair, as the home team has covered the number in the last four meetings in this series.

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