College Football Week 2 Picks: SMU Mustangs vs. North Texas Mean Green

SMU Mustangs vs. North Texas Mean Green
Saturday, 9/6/14, 12:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  North Texas -4
Current Betting Line:  North Texas -2.5
Opening Total:  52.5
Current Total:  50.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The SMU Mustangs were humiliated on the road against Baylor in Week 1
The SMU Mustangs were humiliated on the road against Baylor in Week 1

SMU looks to even its record after suffering a humiliating 45-0 setback to the Baylor Bears as 31.5-point road underdogs last week—getting out-gained by 507 yards and going UNDER the betting total of 75.  The Mustangs used three signal-callers in their season opener against the Bears, with Neal Burcham getting the start, while Matt Davis and Kolney Cassel also got in the action.  SMU is 2-0 SUATS as road underdogs of three or fewer points the last two-plus seasons.

The Mustangs will need a big game from senior linebacker Stephon Sangers, who started all 12 games last season and led the squad with 13.5 tackles for loss.  He had five tackles versus Baylor, which can’t be ignored when making your Week 1 college football picks.  It’s also important to point out that head coach June Jones has never had consecutive losing seasons in his coaching career.  The program owns a 28-4-1 SU all-time advantage against North Texas, but it has dropped the last two meetings between the in-state rivals when playing in Denton.

North Texas opens its 2014 home schedule after dropping a 38-7 decision to the Texas Longhorns as 20.5-point road underdogs last week, while going UNDER the betting total of 47.5.  The Mean Green have won two straight home opening games, and allowed only a combined 13 points in those contests, while Dan McCarney has compiled a 11-4 SU record over the course of his entire coaching career in that situation.  North Texas is 6-0 SUATS at home when the betting total is between 49.5 and 56 since 2012.

The Mean Green were held to 94 yards of total offense against the Longhorns, with their three pass completions being their fewest in a game since the 2001 season opener.  In the 20 losses under McCarney, North Texas has won the next game 12 times, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.

Sports bettors will likely back the Mean Green due to being 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record.

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