College Football Week 14 Picks: Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels

Duke Blue Devils vs. North Carolina Tar Heels
Saturday, 11/30/13, 12:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  North Carolina -5.5
Current Betting Line:  North Carolina -5
Opening Total:  60
Current Total:  60.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The North Carolina Tar Heels have won eight of their last 10 games against the Duke Blue Devils
The North Carolina Tar Heels have won eight of their last 10 games against the Duke Blue Devils

Duke is riding a seven-game winning streak, as it travels to Chapel Hill to play its regular season finale and potentially clinch the ACC Coastal Division championship.  The Blue Devils have compiled a 9-0 record when Anthony Boone lines up under center dating back to last year, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football betting lines in Week 14.  It’s important to point out that this program is 4-19 SU in November under sixth-year head coach David Cutcliffe.  Duke is 2-0 SUATS as road underdogs of 3.5 to 7 points since 2011, with both games going UNDER the betting total.

The Blue Devils have allowed just 34 fourth-quarter points this season, which is important to consider when making your college football expert picks, especially with the offensive unit being the first one in school history to post 20-plus rushing touchdowns and 20-plus passing touchdowns.  Duke has put together a 25-2 SU record under Cutcliffe when leading after three quarters of action.

North Carolina is playing its best football of the season, as the team looks to secure its sixth consecutive victory, while 39 of its 47 total touchdowns have been scored by freshmen or sophomores.  The Tar Heels have won eight of the last 10 meetings in this in-state rivalry, but they’ll be looking to gain revenge from a 33-30 defeat as 10.5-point road favorites a year ago.  Defensively, the team allowed 510 total yards in that game, including 276 through the air.  North Carolina is 3-0 SUATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points the last two-plus seasons.

The Tar Heels have a dynamic signal-caller in Marquise Williams, who is responsible for 18 touchdowns this season, which includes throwing a school-record tying five scoring strikes last week.  He has a major target in the middle of the field in All-America candidate Eric Ebron, who leads the team with 50 catches for 774 yards and three touchdowns.  Six of the last eight games in this series have been decided by eight points or less.

Sports bettors will likely play the total, as the OVER is 11-4 in the Tar Heels’ last 15 home games.

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