College Football Week 13 Predictions: West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones
Friday, 11/23/12, 3:30 PM EST, TV:  ABC
Opening Point Spread:  West Virginia -1
Current Betting Line:  West Virginia -1
Opening Total:  68.5
Current Total:  68.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The West Virginia Mountaineers have lost five games in a row

West Virginia travels to Ames, Iowa in a Big 12 Conference matchup at Jack Trice Stadium, as it looks to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 50-49 setback to the Oklahoma Sooners as 10.5-point home underdogs.  The Mountaineers were unable to breakthrough with a victory despite wide receiver Tavon Austin finishing with a school record 557 all-purpose yards.  West Virginia is 8-5 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, while the UNDER is 7-6 in that situation.

The Mountaineers have compiled a dominating 80-6 record when scoring 30 or more points since 2000, while quarterback Geno Smith ranks first in school history with 10,818 career passing yards.  West Virginia finished last week’s game with 778 total yards, with Smith completing 20 of 35 passes for 320 yards.  Defensively, the unit ranks next to last in the nation in surrendering 42.3 points per game, as it has already allowed the most points in school history for a single season.

Iowa State is bowl bound for the third time in the last four years, as it ended a two-game losing streak by picking up a 51-23 blowout victory over the Kansas Jayhawks as 3.5-point road favorites, while going OVER the total for the second time in three weeks.  The Cyclones racked off 548 total yards, with redshirt freshman quarterback Sam Richardson completed 23 of 27 passes for 250 yards and four touchdowns.  Iowa State is 4-5 ATS in November the last two-plus seasons, which is an important trend to handicap when making your college football picks against the spread.

The Cyclones rank fourth in the Big 12 Conference in allowing 27.1 points per game when facing such opponents, but have surrendered 502.9 yards per game in that situation.  Iowa State has allowed more first downs than any league team, but ranks first in red-zone defense.  There’s no doubt that 24 is the magic number for this program, as it has gone 21-1 under head coach Paul Rhoads when holding opponents under that mark, while going 3-24 when failing to do so.

Sports bettors will likely back the Mountaineers due to their 7-3 ATS mark on grass field, while the Cyclones are 11-13 ATS versus conference opponents.

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