College Football Week 11 Picks: South Florida Bulls vs. Syracuse Orange

South Florida Bulls at Syracuse Orange
Friday, 11/11/11, 8:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPN2
Opening Point Spread:  South Florida -4
Current Betting Line:  South Florida -3.5
Opening Total:  52.5
Current Total:  52
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The South Florida Bulls are 5-0 ATS all-time inside domed stadiums

South Florida will be aiming to snap a four-game losing streak Friday night, coming off a 20-17 loss to the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in overtime as 2.5-point road favorites.  The Bulls have only been outscored by a combined 12 points in their last three defeats.  “Nobody’s hanging their head.  Nobody’s dragging around, moping around,” stated Bulls coach Skip Holtz.  “Everybody hurts a little bit.”  This particular contest is the first of three weeknight games for the program to close the season.  South Florida is 3-5 ATS this season and 5-0 ATS when playing inside of dome stadiums.

The Bulls are definitely one of the better offensive teams in the Big East Conference, averaging 32.5 points per game.  South Florida has managed to average almost 467 yards a game, which includes a balance attack, falling just under 200 yards in terms of rushing.  Junior quarterback B.J. Daniels has registered a 17-13 record as a starter for the program, throwing for 2,027 yards and 12 touchdowns with five interceptions during the 2011 campaign.

Syracuse is also a program looking to get things back on track, dropping two games since tallying a 49-23 upset win over the West Virginia Mountaineers as 14-point home underdogs.  “They’re not down,” commented Orange head coach Doug Marrone.  “Now, are they upset?  Absolutely.”  The Orange will definitely be challenged in trying to pick up another win as a underdog inside the Carrier Dome, dropping five of the last six meetings, but picking up a 13-9 win as eight-point road underdogs last year.  Syracuse is 5-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points, while the ‘under’ is 5-1 in those contests.

The Orange bring in a 6-12 record against conference opponents under Marrone, while the school is 105-94-4 all-time in such affairs.  Syracuse’s offense has been extremely balanced in terms of play calling, rushing the ball 288 times, while throwing the ball 302 times.  In four of the team’s five wins, quarterback Ryan Nassib has led the Orange on a game-winning or game-tying drives in the fourth quarter or overtime.  He has completed 65-of-94 passes for 613 yards and seven touchdowns in the final frame.

Bettors will likely back the Bulls due to their 5-1 ATS mark on Fridays, while the Orange are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings.

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