College Football Week 11 Picks: Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Missouri Tigers vs. Kentucky Wildcats
Saturday, 11/9/13, 12:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Missouri -13.5
Current Betting Line:  Missouri -14
Opening Total:  57
Current Total:  56
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Missouri Tigers have one of the best offenses in the country
The Missouri Tigers have one of the top offenses in the country

Missouri will be looking for its ninth win of the 2013 campaign, as it comes off a dominating 31-3 win over the Tennessee Volunteers as 11-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.  The Tigers forced three more turnovers in that affair—increasing their total to 17 that ranks second in the country.  Missouri is 6-7 SU and 9-4 ATS on the road the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 9-4 in that situation.

The Tigers could receive a boost to their offense with the potential return of starting quarterback James Franklin, but backup Maty Mauk has played well at times in his absence.  “I feel fortunate that Maty has done a good job,” commented Tigers head coach Gary Pinkel.  To earn a spot in the SEC championship game, Missouri will likely need to win its final three games.  Offensively, the team ranks 15th in the country in averaging 500.0 yards per game, while sitting behind just 12 teams in averaging 40.6 points.

Kentucky snapped a five-game losing streak by suffering a 48-14 defeat to Alabama State as 27.5-point home favorites in Week 10, but it was outgained by a triple-digit margin by its last five FBS opponents.  The Wildcats did receive a big effort from quarterback Jalen Whitlow last Saturday, as he produced four touchdowns, while becoming the team’s first 100-yard rusher in a game this season.  Kentucky is 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 2011, with the OVER cashing in seven of those opportunities.

The Wildcats have been known for taking care of the football, as their six turnovers rank as the second-lowest total in the nation in that all-important category.  Kentucky senior running back Raymond Sanders has 1,448 career rushing yards, while Jonathan George has 793.  The program was one of the youngest in the country last season and 2013 is no different with 14 newcomers seeing action on the gridiron.

Sports bettors will likely play the total, as the OVER is 5-0 in the Tigers’ last five road games.

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