College Football Week 11 Picks: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers
Saturday, 11/8/14, 8:00 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Alabama -6
Current Betting Line:  Alabama -6.5
Opening Total:  47
Current Total:  45.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Alabama Crimson Tide have won their last three games since suffering their only loss of the 2014 campaign
The Alabama Crimson Tide have won their last three games since suffering their only loss of the 2014 campaign

Alabama has won three consecutive games, including a 34-20 victory over the Tennessee Volunteers as 20-point road favorites on Oct. 25, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in four affairs.  The Crimson Tide own a 48-25-5 SU all-time advantage in this Southeastern Conference series, which is important to consider when making your Week 11 college football betting picks, including a 26-9-2 mark when facing off in Baton Rouge.  Alabama is 5-2 SU and 1-6 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 10 points the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 4-3 in that situation.

The Crimson Tide have been very good on third down offensively, which can’t be ignored when looking over the college football odds, as they rank second nationally in converting 55.7 percent of their opportunities.  Alabama is 27-10 SU against ranked opponents since 2008, while it sits behind just one team in the country in allowing just 78.1 rushing yards per game.  The stop unit is also fourth nationally in surrendering 277.2 yards a contest overall.

LSU enters on a 3-0 SUATS run, which includes a 10-7 victory over the Ole Miss Rebels as four-point home underdogs in Week 9, while going UNDER the betting total for a second consecutive contest.  The Tigers are 46-4 SU in night games in Tiger Stadium under Les Miles, while it has proven victorious in eight of nine games with Anthony Jennings as the starter under center.  LSU is 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 7 points since the start of the 2012 campaign, with both games going UNDER the betting total.

The Tigers true freshmen have scored 17 of the team’s 36 offensive touchdowns, while Miles have played 17 such players in the first nine weeks of the season—the most for any such class during his time on campus.  In the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, a total of 33 points separates the two teams, with LSU getting outscored by a 229-196 margin.

Sports bettors will likely back the Crimson Tide due to the Tigers being 17-17 ATS over the last two-plus seasons.

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