College Football Week 11 Picks Against the Spread: Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Boston College Eagles

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Boston College Eagles
Saturday, 11/10/12, 8:00 PM EST, TV:  ABC
Opening Point Spread:  Notre Dame -18.5
Current Betting Line:  Notre Dame -19
Opening Total:  47
Current Total:  47.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish should have their way with the Boston College Eagles on Saturday

Notre Dame is currently averaging 200.3 rushing yards and 204.1 passing yards per game, as it comes off a 29-26 overtime win over the Pittsburgh Panthers as 16.5-point home favorites, while going OVER the total for the first time since its season opener.  “I try and spend all my time and energy focused on how we can get another win,” stated Fighting Irish head coach Brian Kelly.  The Fighting Irish are 5-0 in games decided by a touchdown or less this year, while they’ve gone 21-5 in their last 26 games overall.  Notre Dame is 4-3 ATS versus ACC opponents the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-2 in that situation.

The Fighting Irish are 12-9 all-time against the Eagles, but they’ve gone 3-4 when playing in Chestnut Hill.  Notre Dame is definitely pushing the pace, as its 104 offensive plays against Pittsburgh tied a school record.  The program is one of six remaining undefeated teams, but its opponents win-loss percentage is .631 on the season, which is tops in the country.

Boston College has scored 20 or fewer points in its last four games, which could present a huge problem when matching up with one of college football’s best defenses, as it looks to bounce back from a 28-14 setback to the Wake Forest Demon Deacons as 3.5-point road underdogs.  The Eagles also have one of the worst stop units nationally, allowing 477.4 yards per game, including 232.2 on the ground.  Boston College is 0-6 ATS as an underdog this season.

The Eagles have one of the best receivers in the nation, with junior Alex Amidon recording 63 catches for 1,073 yards and six touchdowns this season.  Quarterback Chase Rettig will need to find him early and often, coming into this affair with 2,556 passing yards, but the offense has gained just 672 rushing yards on the year.  Rettig could face immense pressure after getting sacked seven times over the past two games, with Saturday’s opponent tallying a season-high five sacks last week.

Sports bettors will likely back the Fighting Irish due to their 3-1 ATS record in games with a total of 42.5 to 49, while the Eagles are 0-2 ATS after scoring 14 or fewer points.

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