College Football Week 10 Picks: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs

Texas A&M Aggies at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Saturday, 11/3/12, 12:00 PM EST, TV:  ESPN
Opening Point Spread:  Texas A&M -3.5
Current Betting Line:  Texas A&M -6
Opening Total:  58
Current Total:  59
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are tops in the nation in turnover differential at home this season

Texas A&M is set to battle a top 25-ranked team for the fourth time in 2012, as it comes off a resounding 63-21 win over the Auburn Tigers as 14-point road favorites.  “We have the 24-hour rule. We’ll enjoy this win for the plane ride back,” commented Aggies linebacker Jonathan Stewart.  “When we wake up, we’ll get ready for a very good Mississippi State team.”  Saturday’s game will mark the first time since 2001 that two ranked teams have faced off at Davis Wade Stadium.  Texas A&M is 1-11 ATS versus teams with a winning record.

The Aggies will look to continue relying upon head coach Kevin Sumlin’s success away from home, as his teams have won 10 straight games on the road.  Texas A&M has a chance of jumping on its current opponent, as the team has scored first in every game this year.  Offensively, the rushing attack is averaging a Southeastern Conference-best 237.7 yards per game, which is the highest mark for the program since 1991.  Quarterback Johnny Manziel is the player to watch in this contest, as he pilots an offense that ranks fifth nationally in averaging 542.9 yards per game.

Mississippi State has faced Texas A&M just five times, with only one meeting occurring since World War II.  The Bulldogs will look to emotionally bounce back from a 38-7 setback to the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide as 22-point road underdogs, as they lost the statistical battle by a sizable 158-yard margin.  “You always define yourself in November,” commented Bulldogs head coach Dan Mullen.  Offensively, the team is averaging 33.0 points per game, which would be a modern-era record for the school if the season ended today.  Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS at home against a team with a winning road record.

The Bulldogs will need to win the turnover battle in this affair, as they’ve proven victorious in 22 of their last 23 games when doing so.  Mississippi State is first in all of college football with a plus-13 turnover margin at home, while Texas A&M is 101st in that particular category on the road.

Sports bettors will likely back the Bulldogs due to their 8-2 ATS mark at home, while the Aggies are 3-8 ATS away from College Station.

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