College Football Week 10 Picks: Northwestern Wildcats vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers
Saturday, 11/2/13, 3:30 PM EST
Opening Point Spread:  Nebraska -7
Current Betting Line:  Nebraska -5
Opening Total:  57.5
Current Total:  58.5
Odds Courtesy of Bookmaker

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 10-8-1 ATS at home the last two-plus seasons
The Nebraska Cornhuskers are 10-8-1 ATS at home the last two-plus seasons

Northwestern and Nebraska split meetings in 2011 and 2012, as the two games were decided by a combined four points, which can’t be ignored when making your college football betting picks in Week 10.  The Wildcats have lost four games in a row, but they’ve gone 12-6 in November since 2008, with five of those victories coming against top-20 opponents.  Defensively, the team has kept the opposition out of the end zone in six of the last eight quarters played.  Northwestern is 0-3 SUATS as an underdog this season, with the UNDER going 2-1 in that situation.

The Wildcats sit atop the Big Ten Conference in red zone efficiency, as they’ve come away with points on 30 of 31 trips inside the red zone—scoring 18 touchdowns and converting 12-of-13 field goal tries.  Northwestern redshirt freshman running back Stephen Buckley has seized the opportunity of leading the ground attack over the last two weeks, averaging 78.5 yards per game and 6.0 yards per carry.  Senior quarterback Kain Colter returned to the lineup last week—becoming the ninth player in conference history to reach 2,000 career yards in both rushing and passing.

Nebraska had its three-game winning streak snapped last time out, as it suffered a 34-23 defeat to the Minnesota Golden Gophers as 10.5-point road favorites, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in three contests.  The Cornhuskers continue to field one of the nation’s top rushing offenses, averaging better than 270 yards per game, with junior Ameer Abdullah just 19 yards from posting his second consecutive 1,000-yard rushing campaign.  Nebraska is 17-2 SU and 10-8-1 ATS at home the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 9-7-3 in that situation.

The Cornhuskers hold a 4-2 edge in this series, including a 2-1 mark in games played in Lincoln, which is important to consider when looking over the college football odds page.  Nebraska senior quarterback Taylor Martinez made his first start since Sept. 14 last week, as he completed 16-of-30 passes for 139 yards with a touchdown and interception.  A victory in this spot would push its record to 6-2—putting the program on track to gaining its 43rd bowl appearance in the past 45 seasons.

Sports bettors will likely back the Cornhuskers due to the Wildcats being 0-5 ATS versus teams with a winning record.

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