College Football Picks ATS: New Mexico Lobos at Air Force Falcons

Air Force enters this week's matchup as 10point favorites.
Air Force enters this week’s matchup as 10point favorites.

New Mexico-Air Force
Time: 3:30 PM ET
Spread: AF -10

Betting odds courtesy of Bovada

The Air Force Falcons continue to thrive on the strength of its running game. The Falcons lost last week to Utah State 34-16, but prior to that had won three straight against Georgia State, Boise State and Navy.

The Falcons average 274.2 yards per game via the rush, which has rendered Air Force 10-point favorites against conference foe New Mexico. Pearson suffered a shoulder injury but is still probable for the contest.

QB Kale Pearson has 798 yards passing this season, but he’s also rushed for 304 yards as the No. 2 rusher on the team. RB Jacobi Owens leads the way in the backfield with 671 yards this season and four TDs. Pearson has scored three, as well. The Falcons have 14 rushing TDs on the year.

Jalen Robinette and Garrett Brown have been the top two WRs for Air Force, and Brown has scored five reception TDs this season. Robinette has caught for 379 yards and averages 18 yards per reception. It’s tough to beat that.

New Mexico is built just the way the Air Force is. The Lobos have averaged 294 yards per game via the rush, but its pass game is nearly non existent, not even managing 100 yards per game. The result has been a poor offense only generating 24 points per game. Meanwhile, the defense lacks just as much, allowing 32 points per game.

New Mexico has lost two if its past three contests, dropping to Fresno State and San Diego State, while beating UTSA 21-9. The Lobos have five (yes, five) rushers with 250 yards or more this season, which includes QB Lamar Jordan. Jhruell Pressley has led the way in the backfield with 432 yards on the season and a 7.6 yard per carry average. He also leads the team in TDs with four.

Cole Gautsche has the best per-carry average with 10.2 yards per carry, bolstered by a 68-yard TD run this season.

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